Players / Player profile
COL · SS

Ezequiel Tovar

Age 25 B/T R/R 6′0″, 192 lb Venezuela MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Colorado’s roster as it stands starts at SS · 485 PA · 1.2 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Available at a price: COL 9% playoff odds; control through 2031.
xwOBA .279 wOBA .275
2026 fWAR −0.4
Projected 2027 WAR 1.2 at 492 PA · 1.2 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 504 PA

xwOBA .279 xwOBA: .279, 7th percentile
Swing decisions −0.70 Swing decisions: −0.70, 18th percentile
Contact value −0.63 Contact value: −0.63, 26th percentile
Bat speed 72.1 Bat speed: 72.1, 50th percentile
Squared-up / swing 16% Squared-up / swing: 16%, 5th percentile
Blasts / swing 5% Blasts / swing: 5%, 13th percentile
EV90 103.7 EV90: 103.7, 42nd percentile
Barrel % 6.8% Barrel %: 6.8%, 40th percentile
Chase % 43.7% Chase %: 43.7%, 3rd percentile
Zone contact 80.3% Zone contact: 80.3%, 20th percentile
Strikeout % 25.6% Strikeout %: 25.6%, 23rd percentile
Walk % 5.8% Walk %: 5.8%, 15th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP169.261.26730%7%41%−0.16−1.26
RHP335.282.28624%5%45%−1.00−0.27
Attack angle
11.0° (49% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−2.1°
Swing length
7.6 ft
Fast-swing rate
20%
Pull-air %
18.2%
Hard-hit %
32.9%
Slash · wRC+
.219/.264/.353 · 55

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.2−0.7+0.2−1.8+0.7−0.6−3.4−1.3−1.6−1.8−3.0−3.2−0.8+1.8−0.5+0.4−0.1+5.3+1.5−4.1−1.3−1.5−1.2−2.5−2.8RHB

Does the most damage down over the middle (+5.3 vs. league per 100; 2.5 standard errors on 89 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and in (−3.4), but only 1.5 standard errors from average on 59 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,661 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Tovar: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
61Trevor Story BOS · ’92.2480.20.8Signed $25.0M
60Jorge Mateo TB · ’95.273−0.2−0.3Free agent
55Jeremy Peña HOU · ’97.3263.43.2Arb
52Daulton Varsho HOU · ’96.2830.81.6Free agent
52Willi Castro COL · ’97.3120.70.9Signed $7.3M

Daulton Varsho (similarity 52, 1.6 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
SS +4.4 +11.9
2B +4.9prior +4.4
3B +4.9prior +4.4
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026SS−10+0.6+0.65,151
2025SS+3+2+1.0+3.03,652
2024SS+15+11+4.4+15.46,129
2023SS+15+11+1.8+12.85,924

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at SS)
2025 · SS2026 · SS In (charging) −3+4Back +1−4Toward 3B line +20Toward 1B line +3−1vs. RHH +50vs. LHH −2−1

At SS in 2026, the biggest loss came back (−4 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among SSs)
Arm at SS 86.2 mph · 74th
Sprint speed 28.0 ft/s · 67th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026SS470−9.5
2025SS358−2.6
2024SS599+14.4

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.2 WAR Guaranteed $8.2M
2028 1.3 WAR Guaranteed $11.2M
2029 1.2 WAR Guaranteed $14.2M
2030 1.1 WAR Guaranteed $16.2M

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAAAlbuquerque Isotopes231146 PA 46 PA · .163/.196/.209 · 0 HR · 21.7% K · 4.3% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 50% 3/6 won · +0.1 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.