Players / Player profile
HOU · CF

Daulton Varsho

Age 30 B/T L/R 5′8″, 207 lb USA MLB debut 2020
40-man
  • Free agent est. 2 yr × $10.8M ($4M–$21M) · +0.7 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as its LF starter
  • Injured list 2026: Left wrist inflammation (Sep 24–Sep 28)
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: +1.1 runs per 600 PA against an average park (+0.10 wins over 490 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.97 (×0.99 for left-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
xwOBA .283 wOBA .292
2026 fWAR 0.8
Projected 2027 WAR 1.6 Keystone Marcel+ at 490 PA

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 525 PA

xwOBA .283 xwOBA: .283, 8th percentile
Swing decisions −0.69 Swing decisions: −0.69, 19th percentile
Contact value −0.56 Contact value: −0.56, 27th percentile
Bat speed 72.9 Bat speed: 72.9, 62nd percentile
Squared-up / swing 18% Squared-up / swing: 18%, 14th percentile
Blasts / swing 6% Blasts / swing: 6%, 23rd percentile
EV90 103.5 EV90: 103.5, 39th percentile
Barrel % 6.9% Barrel %: 6.9%, 42nd percentile
Chase % 36.5% Chase %: 36.5%, 16th percentile
Zone contact 85.4% Zone contact: 85.4%, 55th percentile
Strikeout % 20.4% Strikeout %: 20.4%, 56th percentile
Walk % 7.0% Walk %: 7.0%, 24th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP135.293.26720%5%36%−0.48−0.14
RHP390.292.28821%8%37%−0.77−0.72
Attack angle
10.1° (56% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−0.9°
Swing length
7.7 ft
Fast-swing rate
26%
Pull-air %
17.5%
Hard-hit %
36.5%
Slash · wRC+
.221/.281/.355 · 78

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.60.0+0.7−2.4−0.4−0.7−1.1−2.5−0.2−1.4−1.7+6.3−3.7−3.1+0.2−1.9−2.0+0.1−2.6−1.6+0.9+2.0−0.5+0.1−1.8LHB

Does the most damage middle-away (+6.3 vs. league per 100; 3.0 standard errors above average on 99 pitches).

Weakest middle-middle (−3.7), but only 1.9 standard errors from average on 116 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,790 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Varsho: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
67Ty France SD · ’94.3283.61.0Free agent
65Jonny DeLuca TB · ’98.2632.41.7Arb
65Cole Carrigg COL · ’02.3161.71.6Pre-arb
64Trea Turner PHI · ’93.2941.12.2Signed $27.3M
63Logan O'Hoppe TEX · ’00.268−0.90.2Arb

Ty France (similarity 67, 1.0 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
CF +5.7 +8.2
LF +13.1 +2.6
RF +8.7prior −1.8
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026LF000.00.037
2026CF+7+7−2.7+4.34,793
2025CF+9+8−1.8+6.22,321
2024RF000.00.032
2024LF+10+9+0.9+9.91,740
2024CF+5+4+1.5+5.52,888
2023CF+8+8+0.9+8.91,904
2023LF+1+1+1.6+2.63,476

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at CF)
2025 · CF2026 · CF In (charging) 0−2Back +1+2Toward 3B line +4+3Toward 1B line +4+5vs. RHH +6+2vs. LHH +3+5

At CF in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among CFs)
Arm at CF 78.1 mph · 1st
Sprint speed 27.4 ft/s · 49th
Reaction +0.4 ft · 63rd
Burst +0.5 ft · 63rd
Route +0.1 ft · 52nd
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★1205%
★★★★3933%
★★★161794%
★★212391%
★3030100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026CF541+0.4
2025CF250+5.8
2024LF170+12.0
2024CF321+5.3

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.6 WAR Free agent
2028 1.2 WAR Free agent
2029 0.8 WAR Free agent
2030 0.2 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AADunedin Blue Jays28514 PA 14 PA · .286/.286/.714 · 2 HR · 28.6% K · 0.0% BB
2025AAAAAABuffalo Bisons28833 PA 33 PA · .133/.182/.233 · 1 HR · 24.2% K · 3.0% BB
2025ROKROKFCL Blue Jays2813 PA 3 PA · .000/.000/.000 · 0 HR · 0.0% K · 0.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 70% 7/10 won · −0.1 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.