Players / Player profile
BOS · 3B

Curtis Mead

Age 25 B/T R/R 6′1″, 225 lb Australia MLB debut 2023
40-man
  • Boston’s roster as it stands utility · 389 PA (2B 245, 3B 144) · 1.1 WAR in the role
  • Injured list Ended 2026 on the 10-day IL: Left wrist tracture (since Jul 29)
  • Trade read Available at a price: BOS 76% playoff odds; control through 2030.
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −2.2 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.15 wins over 391 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.75 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
xwOBA .361 wOBA .378
2026 fWAR 1.5
Projected 2027 WAR 0.9 at 391 PA · 1.1 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 330 PA

xwOBA .361 xwOBA: .361, 91st percentile
Swing decisions +0.62 Swing decisions: +0.62, 74th percentile
Contact value +1.50 Contact value: +1.50, 85th percentile
Bat speed 72.5 Bat speed: 72.5, 56th percentile
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%, 44th percentile
Blasts / swing 10% Blasts / swing: 10%, 77th percentile
EV90 105.2 EV90: 105.2, 65th percentile
Barrel % 11.0% Barrel %: 11.0%, 74th percentile
Chase % 25.0% Chase %: 25.0%, 79th percentile
Zone contact 89.6% Zone contact: 89.6%, 83rd percentile
Strikeout % 19.1% Strikeout %: 19.1%, 64th percentile
Walk % 11.8% Walk %: 11.8%, 87th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP141.391.38319%11%22%+0.81+1.57
RHP189.367.34519%12%27%+0.48+1.51
Attack angle
5.7° (46% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−5.1°
Swing length
7.1 ft
Fast-swing rate
25%
Pull-air %
20.8%
Hard-hit %
42.7%
Slash · wRC+
.253/.353/.498 · 133

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.5−0.2+0.6−0.8−0.1+0.80.0+2.6−1.1−0.6+2.0−0.4−1.1+2.0+0.1+0.6+2.1−1.0+0.3+0.4+0.9+3.5+1.0+1.7+0.4RHB

Does the most damage up over the middle (+2.6 vs. league per 100; 1.2 standard errors on 62 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−1.1), but only 0.5 standard errors from average on 80 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,266 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Mead: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
70Ryan Jeffers MIN · ’97.3442.61.8Free agent
62Seiya Suzuki CHC · ’94.3414.62.6Free agent
58Trevor Larnach MIN · ’97.3292.21.0Arb
57Kyle Karros COL · ’02.3312.01.6Pre-arb
55Gabriel Moreno AZ · ’00.3655.44.0Arb

Ryan Jeffers (similarity 70, 1.8 WAR projected for 2027), Seiya Suzuki (similarity 62, 2.6 WAR projected for 2027) are free agents this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B −2.8 −0.3
2B −4.4 −4.9
1B −2.5 −15.0
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20262B000.00.0116
20261B−6−4−0.1−4.1873
20263B−4−3−0.2−3.21,649
20252B+2+1+0.1+1.1431
20251B−2−1+0.1−0.9867
20253B00+0.1+0.1978
20243B−1−1+0.2−0.8461
20242B−3−2+0.2−1.8686
2023SS000.00.024
20232B000.00.0144
20233B000.00.0646

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 3B)
2025 · 3B2026 · 3B In (charging) +3−5Back 00Toward 3B line −3−5Toward 1B line 00vs. RHH −1−2vs. LHH +1−7

At 3B in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−5 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)
Arm at 3B 77.3 mph · 2nd
Sprint speed 27.0 ft/s · 39th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20263B136−4.2
20261B57−2.0
20253B670.0
20252B45+2.5
20251B56−0.5
20243B41−3.0
20242B48−0.2

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.9 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 0.9 WAR Arbitration $2.6M*
2029 0.8 WAR Arbitration $3.6M*
2030 0.7 WAR Arbitration $5.0M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAACharlotte Knights241669 PA 69 PA · .300/.391/.517 · 3 HR · 24.6% K · 10.1% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 30% 3/10 won · −0.6 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.