Trevor Larnach
- Minnesota’s roster as it stands starts at LF · 467 PA · 1.3 WAR in the role
- Injured list 2026: Left wrist sprain (Sep 18–Sep 28)
- Trade read Available at a price: MIN sits near the seller line (27% playoff odds, within a projected win of 30%); control through 2027.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 434 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 55 | .279 | .274 | 27% | 11% | 35% | −0.76 | −0.15 |
| RHP | 379 | .363 | .337 | 17% | 10% | 29% | −0.03 | +0.19 |
- Attack angle
- 8.7° (44% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −14.8°
- Swing length
- 7.2 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 22%
- Pull-air %
- 22.0%
- Hard-hit %
- 36.7%
- Slash · wRC+
- .269/.352/.436 · 123
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage up over the middle (+3.1 vs. league per 100; 1.4 standard errors on 62 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down and in (−4.4), but only 2.0 standard errors from average on 62 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,541 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Larnach: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | Gunnar Henderson BAL · ’01 | .322 | 3.6 | 4.4 | Arb |
| 68 | George Springer TOR · ’89 | .309 | 0.9 | 0.7 | Free agent |
| 65 | Henry Davis PIT · ’99 | .298 | 0.6 | 0.2 | Arb |
| 62 | Andy Pages LAD · ’00 | .343 | 4.5 | 3.3 | Arb |
| 61 | Cole Young SEA · ’03 | .316 | 2.0 | 1.5 | Pre-arb |
George Springer (similarity 68, 0.7 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | LF | −5 | −4 | +2.0 | −2.0 | 3,513 |
| 2025 | LF | −3 | −3 | −0.8 | −3.8 | 568 |
| 2025 | RF | −1 | −1 | −1.9 | −2.9 | 1,266 |
| 2024 | RF | 0 | 0 | −0.2 | −0.2 | 247 |
| 2024 | LF | +1 | +1 | −1.2 | −0.2 | 1,543 |
| 2023 | RF | +1 | +1 | −0.7 | +0.3 | 461 |
| 2023 | LF | −2 | −2 | −1.7 | −3.7 | 1,263 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
At LF in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−3 outs): a coaching target.
Tools (percentile; arm among LFs)| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0 | 21 | 0% |
| ★★★★ | 1 | 5 | 20% |
| ★★★ | 5 | 7 | 71% |
| ★★ | 17 | 22 | 77% |
| ★ | 11 | 13 | 85% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | LF | 344 | −7.2 |
| 2025 | RF | 144 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | LF | 67 | −3.8 |
| 2024 | LF | 148 | +3.7 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant