Players / Player profile
CWS · 3B

Miguel Vargas

Age 26 B/T R/R 6′2″, 225 lb Cuba MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • The White Sox’s roster as it stands starts at 3B · 596 PA · 2.9 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young, controllable regular (age 27, control through 2029): the kind of player clubs build around.
xwOBA .379 wOBA .364
2026 fWAR 5.3
Projected 2027 WAR 2.5 at 609 PA · 2.9 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 696 PA

xwOBA .379 xwOBA: .379, 96th percentile
Swing decisions +1.81 Swing decisions: +1.81, 100th percentile
Contact value +1.39 Contact value: +1.39, 84th percentile
Bat speed 74.0 Bat speed: 74.0, 75th percentile
Squared-up / swing 24% Squared-up / swing: 24%, 62nd percentile
Blasts / swing 10% Blasts / swing: 10%, 76th percentile
EV90 103.9 EV90: 103.9, 46th percentile
Barrel % 12.8% Barrel %: 12.8%, 87th percentile
Chase % 20.9% Chase %: 20.9%, 95th percentile
Zone contact 82.3% Zone contact: 82.3%, 32nd percentile
Strikeout % 18.1% Strikeout %: 18.1%, 71st percentile
Walk % 13.7% Walk %: 13.7%, 96th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP202.388.40617%15%21%+1.46+2.05
RHP494.355.36718%13%21%+1.96+1.11
Attack angle
12.8° (65% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−3.7°
Swing length
7.8 ft
Fast-swing rate
39%
Pull-air %
27.0%
Hard-hit %
43.7%
Slash · wRC+
.250/.363/.474 · 134

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+2.4+0.3+2.2+2.7+0.8+2.2−1.1−0.3−2.8+0.7+1.1+5.5−1.0−0.3−0.3+2.5−1.3−0.7−0.3+2.4+1.3+0.7+0.3+2.1+3.3RHB

Does the most damage middle-in (+5.5 vs. league per 100; 2.8 standard errors on 133 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and away (−2.8), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 125 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,541 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Vargas: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
56Ben Rice NYY · ’99.3784.22.8Pre-arb
55JJ Bleday CIN · ’97.3431.31.0Arb
50Heriberto Hernández MIA · ’99.3481.71.6Pre-arb
43Francisco Lindor NYM · ’93.3312.23.2Signed $34.1M
41Spencer Torkelson DET · ’99.3161.21.3Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B −4.2 −1.7
2B −6.2prior −6.7
1B +1.8 −10.7
LF −2.8 −13.3
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B000.00.0808
20263B−8−6+1.2−4.84,897
2025LF000.00.05
20251B+1+1+0.4+1.42,073
20253B−7−5+0.1−4.92,816
2024LF−4−3+0.4−2.6768
20243B−2−1+0.8−0.31,371
20231B000.00.061
20232B−7−5+0.8−4.22,635

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 3B)
2025 · 3B2026 · 3B In (charging) +2−5Back +1−2Toward 3B line −4−4Toward 1B line −4+3vs. RHH −6−11vs. LHH 0+3

At 3B in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−5 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)
Arm at 3B 84.3 mph · 64th
Sprint speed 28.6 ft/s · 83rd
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★010%
★★★★00—
★★★00—
★★00—
★11100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20263B347+6.6
20261B49−0.5
20253B221−12.1
20251B125−4.1
2024LF73−3.1
20243B107−6.5

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.5 WAR Arbitration $5.9M*
2028 2.4 WAR Arbitration $8.3M*
2029 2.2 WAR Arbitration $11.4M*
2030 1.8 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 54% 13/24 won · +0.5 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.