NYM · P

Kodai Senga

Age 33 B/T L/R 6′1″, 202 lb Japan MLB debut 2023

40-man

The Mets’ roster as it stands #5 starter · 105 IP · 0.1 WAR in the role
Injured list 2026: Lumbar spine inflammation (Apr 28–Jun 16)
Trade read Available at a price: NYM 63% playoff odds; control through 2028.

Keystone Stuff 98 40th pct

2026 fWAR −0.6

Projected 2027 WAR 0.1 at 101 IP · 0.1 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,129 pitches

Keystone Stuff 98

Keystone Location 81

Keystone Pitching 89

Run value (xRV) −1.05

Strikeout % 26.5%

Walk % 14.5%

Whiff % 29.1%

Chase % 25.9%

Fastball velo 95.9

Extension 6.3 ft

61.1 IP7.34 ERA5.82 FIP 47° arm8 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 47° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam43% use	43%	96.3	16.2	+6.9	95	96	16%	−1.48
Forkball27% use	27%	83.3	0.7	+11.2	110	74	49%	+0.15
Cutter13% use	13%	90.0	7.3	+1.0	89	84	26%	−0.16
Sweeper8% use	8%	81.6	−4.8	−9.9	91	95	25%	−2.06
Slider6% use	6%	86.7	2.0	−0.4	98	101	48%	−2.14
Sinker3% use	3%	90.2	7.0	+15.6	97	64	19%	−4.24

Weak pitch to watch

Four-seam grades 95 with below-average expected results; his forkball grades 110. The best case is against righties: the forkball is worth +0.8 runs per 100 pitches more, 1.0 standard errors (130 and 238 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Senga: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
44	Grayson Rodriguez LAA · ’99	101	0.2	0.8	Arb
44	AJ Blubaugh HOU · ’00	104	0.2	0.3	Pre-arb
42	Luis Medina ATH · ’99	103	0.9	0.6	Arb
41	Chase Silseth TEX · ’00	98	0.4	0.3	Pre-arb
39	Bryce Miller SEA · ’98	104	0.9	1.0	Club option $6.1M

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 42%

49% zone

Forkball 30%

22% zone

Cutter 12%

46% zone

Sweeper 11%

44% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.1 WAR Signed $14.0M

2028 −0.1 WAR Club option $15.0M

2029 −0.3 WAR Free agent

2030 −0.5 WAR Free agent

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026A	A	St. Lucie Mets	33	1	3.1 IP	3.1 IP · 5.40 ERA · 13.3% K · 6.7% BB
2026AA	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	33	1	6 IP	6 IP · 1.50 ERA · 23.8% K · 4.8% BB
2026AAA	AAA	Syracuse Mets	33	2	8.2 IP	8.2 IP · 5.19 ERA · 22.7% K · 9.1% BB
2025AA	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	32	1	3.2 IP	3.2 IP · 7.36 ERA · 19.0% K · 9.5% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Syracuse Mets	32	2	9.2 IP	9.2 IP · 4.66 ERA · 30.8% K · 5.1% BB