Players / Player profile
ATH · RF

Lawrence Butler

Age 26 B/T L/R 6′3″, 210 lb USA MLB debut 2023
40-man
  • The Athletics’ roster as it stands starts at RF · 523 PA · 1.4 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Available at a price: ATH 27% playoff odds; control through 2032.
xwOBA .327 wOBA .329
2026 fWAR −0.1
Projected 2027 WAR 1.3 at 533 PA · 1.4 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 540 PA

xwOBA .327 xwOBA: .327, 57th percentile
Swing decisions +1.04 Swing decisions: +1.04, 89th percentile
Contact value −0.42 Contact value: −0.42, 32nd percentile
Bat speed 73.6 Bat speed: 73.6, 71st percentile
Squared-up / swing 18% Squared-up / swing: 18%, 14th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 67th percentile
EV90 106.1 EV90: 106.1, 75th percentile
Barrel % 8.7% Barrel %: 8.7%, 57th percentile
Chase % 24.6% Chase %: 24.6%, 82nd percentile
Zone contact 78.8% Zone contact: 78.8%, 14th percentile
Strikeout % 25.7% Strikeout %: 25.7%, 22nd percentile
Walk % 11.1% Walk %: 11.1%, 83rd percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP149.321.29326%10%25%+0.39+0.01
RHP391.332.34026%12%24%+1.29−0.58
Attack angle
5.9° (42% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+3.6°
Swing length
7.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
35%
Pull-air %
11.9%
Hard-hit %
45.1%
Slash · wRC+
.237/.326/.394 · 96

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

0.0−0.4−1.0+0.3+0.4+0.9−0.5+1.5+0.6−0.5+2.1−1.1−1.2+2.2+0.3−0.8+0.5−0.1−1.7+1.0+0.2−0.1+0.3−1.0−0.4LHB

Does the most damage middle-in (+2.2 vs. league per 100; 1.0 standard errors on 101 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down and in (−1.7), but only 0.8 standard errors from average on 113 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,042 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Butler: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
65José Tena WSH · ’01.290−0.30.1—
53Brandon Nimmo TEX · ’93.3401.71.1Signed $20.5M
51Brett Baty NYM · ’99.3221.11.5Arb
51Carter Jensen KC · ’03.3193.73.3Pre-arb
50Matt Chapman SF · ’93.2891.31.8Signed $25.2M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF −1.5 −9.0
CF −14.8 −12.3
LF −3.5prior −14.0
1B −1.0prior −16.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026CF−7−6−0.4−6.4926
2026RF−4−3−1.7−4.74,099
2025CF00−0.7−0.71,880
2025RF+4+3−1.2+1.83,473
2024CF000.00.019
2024RF−1−1+0.4−0.64,100
2023RF000.00.050
2023CF00+0.9+0.91,307

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2025 · RF2026 · RF In (charging) +2−2Back −1−1Toward 3B line +1−5Toward 1B line +3−2vs. RHH +3−5vs. LHH +1−6

At RF in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−5 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)
Arm at RF 86.1 mph · 30th
Sprint speed 26.7 ft/s · 32nd
Reaction −0.6 ft · 29th
Burst −0.3 ft · 38th
Route +0.4 ft · 73rd
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0250%
★★★★030%
★★★2922%
★★111765%
★232592%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF353−1.7
2026CF117−8.9
2025RF342+1.3
2025CF232+0.2
2024RF440+9.3

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.3 WAR Guaranteed $5.4M
2028 1.3 WAR Guaranteed $8.4M
2029 1.2 WAR Guaranteed $10.4M
2030 1.0 WAR Guaranteed $14.4M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 54% 15/28 won · +0.5 runs
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