Players / Player profile
TEX · RF

Brandon Nimmo

Age 33 B/T L/R 6′1″, 206 lb USA MLB debut 2016
40-man
  • Texas’ roster as it stands starts at DH · 524 PA · 0.5 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Likely available: TEX projects to miss the playoffs (25% odds) and he’s a veteran (age 34 in 2027): a natural trade candidate.
xwOBA .340 wOBA .324
2026 fWAR 1.7
Projected 2027 WAR 1.1 at 533 PA · 0.5 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 654 PA

xwOBA .340 xwOBA: .340, 74th percentile
Swing decisions +0.68 Swing decisions: +0.68, 76th percentile
Contact value +0.60 Contact value: +0.60, 68th percentile
Bat speed 72.5 Bat speed: 72.5, 55th percentile
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%, 47th percentile
Blasts / swing 10% Blasts / swing: 10%, 79th percentile
EV90 105.5 EV90: 105.5, 70th percentile
Barrel % 8.9% Barrel %: 8.9%, 59th percentile
Chase % 29.0% Chase %: 29.0%, 56th percentile
Zone contact 82.8% Zone contact: 82.8%, 36th percentile
Strikeout % 22.8% Strikeout %: 22.8%, 43rd percentile
Walk % 7.5% Walk %: 7.5%, 31st percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP204.377.32320%6%28%+1.11+0.45
RHP450.300.34724%8%29%+0.50+0.67
Attack angle
7.5° (52% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+2.2°
Swing length
7.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
26%
Pull-air %
14.1%
Hard-hit %
50.6%
Slash · wRC+
.260/.324/.405 · 106

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−1.0+0.7+0.6+0.9−0.9−0.8−0.5−1.1+0.50.0−0.8+0.1+1.5+1.4−1.4+0.9+0.2+0.3−3.3−0.1+1.1+2.0−1.8+3.1−2.5LHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+1.5 vs. league per 100; 0.8 standard errors on 170 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down and in (−3.3), but only 1.6 standard errors from average on 102 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,356 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Nimmo: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
76Hao-Yu Lee DET · ’03.3030.50.8Pre-arb
72Jared Young NYM · ’95.3181.00.6Pre-arb
67Tim Tawa AZ · ’99.3230.20.2Pre-arb
63Jonathan Aranda TB · ’98.3423.02.3Arb
62Wilyer Abreu BOS · ’99.3483.32.9Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
LF −0.3 −7.8
CF −12.1 −12.6
RF −5.3 −12.8
1B +0.2prior −15.3
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF−5−4−3.1−7.15,251
2025CF000.00.068
2025LF00−0.1−0.15,481
2024CF−1−1−0.2−1.2617
2024LF+1+1−1.6−0.64,678
2023LF+2+10.0+1.0395
2023CF−1−1+0.3−0.75,009

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2026 · RF In (charging) 0Back −1Toward 3B line −5Toward 1B line +1vs. RHH −4vs. LHH 0

At RF in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−5 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among LFs)
Arm at LF 84.0 mph · 21st
Sprint speed 28.0 ft/s · 67th
Reaction −1.1 ft · 12th
Burst −0.7 ft · 26th
Route +0.6 ft · 84th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0220%
★★★★1250%
★★★3933%
★★172085%
★192095%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF457−9.6
2025LF499+0.1
2024LF400+6.9
2024CF66−2.4

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.1 WAR Guaranteed $20.5M
2028 0.3 WAR Guaranteed $20.5M
2029 −0.5 WAR Guaranteed $20.5M
2030 −1.2 WAR Guaranteed $20.5M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 30% 3/10 won · −0.1 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.