TB · RF

Ryan Vilade

Age 27 B/T R/R 6′1″, 226 lb USA MLB debut 2021

40-man

Tampa Bay’s roster as it stands part-time RF · 341 PA (RF 341) · 0.6 WAR in the role
Trade read Available at a price: TB 36% playoff odds; control through 2031.
PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −1.8 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.11 wins over 341 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.79 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →

xwOBA .333 wOBA .350

2026 fWAR 0.8

Projected 2027 WAR 0.5 at 341 PA · 0.6 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026

276 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .333

Swing decisions +0.96

Contact value +0.20

Bat speed 76.6

Squared-up / swing 16%

Blasts / swing 9%

EV90 106.9

Barrel % 7.1%

Chase % 27.4%

Zone contact 83.2%

Strikeout % 23.5%

Walk % 9.1%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vs	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Chase	Decisions	Contact
LHP	168	.365	.346	23%	8%	28%	+1.05	+0.57
RHP	108	.328	.312	24%	10%	26%	+0.83	−0.21

Attack angle: 4.4° (39% in 5–20°)
Attack direction: −2.8°
Swing length: 7.5 ft
Fast-swing rate: 60%
Pull-air %: 16.9%
Hard-hit %: 40.1%
Slash · wRC+: .245/.321/.429 · 108

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

Does the most damage down and away (+3.6 vs. league per 100; 1.6 standard errors on 56 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−4.3), but only 2.0 standard errors from average on 75 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 999 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Vilade: bat path, contact quality and approach

Similarity	Player	xwOBA	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
82	Matt Chapman SF · ’93	.289	1.3	1.8	Signed $25.2M
62	Nathaniel Lowe CLE · ’95	.338	0.5	0.4	Free agent
59	Christian Walker HOU · ’91	.304	1.6	0.5	Signed $20.0M
56	Agustín Ramírez MIA · ’01	.285	0.0	0.2	—
54	Manny Machado SD · ’92	.329	2.4	1.7	Signed $39.1M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth

RF −0.1 −7.6

LF −3.2 −13.7

1B +1.0 −14.5

Outs Above Average by position

Season	Pos	OAA	Range	Arm, DP	Runs	Batters
2026	3B	0	0	0.0	0.0	29
2026	2B	−2	−2	0.0	−2.0	176
2026	LF	−1	−1	0.0	−1.0	368
2026	1B	0	0	+0.6	+0.6	602
2026	RF	0	0	0.0	0.0	1,080
2025	LF	0	0	0.0	0.0	28
2025	RF	0	0	+0.1	+0.1	130
2024	CF	0	0	−0.1	−0.1	38
2024	LF	0	0	−0.3	−0.3	214
2024	RF	0	0	−0.3	−0.3	217

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)

2025 · RF2026 · RF In (charging) 00Back 0+1Toward 3B line 0−4Toward 1B line 0−1vs. RHH 0−1vs. LHH 0−3

At RF in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−4 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)

Arm at RF 87.5 mph · 42nd

Sprint speed 28.5 ft/s · 81st

Reaction +2.3 ft · 96th

Burst +0.1 ft · 50th

Route −1.4 ft · 7th

Catch difficulty (latest season)

Play	Made	Chances	Rate
★★★★★	0	9	0%
★★★★	2	2	100%
★★★	3	4	75%
★★	6	9	67%
★	12	12	100%

Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)

Season	Zone	Balls	Outs vs. exp.
2026	RF	109	+1.8
2026	LF	42	−0.2

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.5 WAR Pre-arb $780K*

2028 0.3 WAR Pre-arb $803K*

2029 0.1 WAR Arbitration $1.7M*

2030 −0.2 WAR Arbitration $1.8M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2025AAA	AAA	Louisville Bats	26	113	461 PA	461 PA · .290/.378/.511 · 17 HR · 19.3% K · 10.8% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 63% 5/8 won · +0.4 runs