Manny Machado
- San Diego’s roster as it stands starts at 3B · 536 PA · 2.1 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: 10-and-5 rights (13+ years of service, five straight seasons with SD): he can veto any trade.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 675 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 158 | .307 | .325 | 21% | 9% | 32% | −0.15 | +0.40 |
| RHP | 517 | .324 | .331 | 21% | 11% | 30% | +0.65 | +0.28 |
- Attack angle
- 7.4° (57% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −2.2°
- Swing length
- 7.9 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 42%
- Pull-air %
- 17.1%
- Hard-hit %
- 43.8%
- Slash · wRC+
- .217/.303/.407 · 98
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage up over the middle (+4.7 vs. league per 100; 2.4 standard errors on 122 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down over the middle (−7.4; 3.8 standard errors below average on 136 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,432 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Machado: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | Christian Walker HOU · ’91 | .304 | 1.6 | 0.5 | Signed $20.0M |
| 65 | Nathaniel Lowe CLE · ’95 | .338 | 0.5 | 0.4 | Free agent |
| 63 | Victor Mesa Jr. TB · ’01 | .331 | 2.6 | 2.3 | Pre-arb |
| 63 | Iván Herrera STL · ’00 | .335 | 1.4 | 2.2 | Arb |
| 62 | Dylan Crews WSH · ’02 | .318 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Pre-arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | +12 | +9 | −0.6 | +8.4 | 5,120 |
| 2025 | 3B | −6 | −5 | +0.5 | −4.5 | 5,264 |
| 2024 | 3B | −1 | −1 | +0.5 | −0.5 | 3,664 |
| 2023 | 3B | +12 | +9 | +1.0 | +10.0 | 3,889 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | 345 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 3B | 380 | −12.8 |
| 2024 | 3B | 266 | −4.1 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant