Players / Player profile
CWS · C

Jake Rogers

Age 31 B/T R/R 5′11″, 201 lb USA MLB debut 2019
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $2.6M ($1M–$6M) · +0.2 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as a bench bat
xwOBA .268 wOBA .260
2026 fWAR 0.1
Projected 2027 WAR 0.4 Keystone Marcel+ at 300 PA

Hitting · 2026

172 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .268 xwOBA: .268
Swing decisions +0.48 Swing decisions: +0.48
Contact value −2.65 Contact value: −2.65
Bat speed 70.5 Bat speed: 70.5
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%
Blasts / swing 5% Blasts / swing: 5%
EV90 101.7 EV90: 101.7
Barrel % 9.4% Barrel %: 9.4%
Chase % 25.6% Chase %: 25.6%
Zone contact 81.9% Zone contact: 81.9%
Strikeout % 29.6% Strikeout %: 29.6%
Walk % 13.4% Walk %: 13.4%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP45.341.33329%18%27%+0.41−0.74
RHP127.231.24530%12%25%+0.50−3.29
Attack angle
16.3° (64% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−3.3°
Swing length
7.6 ft
Fast-swing rate
4%
Pull-air %
19.8%
Hard-hit %
36.5%
Slash · wRC+
.161/.277/.287 · 62

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+1.5+1.3−1.9−0.6−0.3−0.1−1.1+1.9−0.8+0.10.0−1.0−1.1−1.1−0.7+0.7−1.2−3.4+0.9+0.5−1.0+0.7−0.2−2.0−0.5RHB

Does the most damage up over the middle (+1.9 vs. league per 100; 0.8 standard errors on 42 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down over the middle (−3.4), but only 1.5 standard errors from average on 40 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 619 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Rogers: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
60Connor Norby COL · ’00.3100.60.6Pre-arb
56Kyle Manzardo CLE · ’00.305−0.20.5Pre-arb
53Michael Busch CHC · ’97.3312.32.2Arb
52Dansby Swanson CHC · ’94.3043.42.4Signed $28.0M
51Miguel Amaya CHC · ’99.2991.41.3Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
C +3.4 +15.9
1B −2.0prior −17.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
No MLB fielding yet.

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA)

No directional data (needs a qualified season at one position).

Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)
Arm strength —
Sprint speed 26.4 ft/s · 26th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
Too few balls in his zone.

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.4 WAR Free agent
2028 0.1 WAR Free agent
2029 −0.3 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.7 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAAToledo Mud Hens30418 PA 18 PA · .333/.444/.533 · 0 HR · 16.7% K · 16.7% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 33% 2/6 won · 0.0 runs
As catcher 51% 20/39 won · −1.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.