MIN · P

Tommy Nance

Age 35 B/T R/R 6′6″, 235 lb USA MLB debut 2021

40-man

Minnesota’s roster as it stands on the 40-man, off the 26-man (call-up depth)
Injured list 2026: Right forearm discomfort (May 17–Jun 8)
Trade read Available at a price: MIN sits near the seller line (27% playoff odds, within a projected win of 30%); control through 2029.

Keystone Stuff 98 42nd pct

2026 fWAR 0.3

Projected 2027 WAR 0.2 Keystone Marcel+ at 46 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 981 pitches

Keystone Stuff 98

Keystone Location 101

Keystone Pitching 100

Run value (xRV) +0.21

Strikeout % 26.4%

Walk % 9.3%

Whiff % 26.5%

Chase % 34.7%

Fastball velo 94.5

Extension 6.2 ft

59.2 IP3.92 ERA3.82 FIP 46° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 46° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Slider44% use	44%	89.2	2.7	−0.4	91	111	35%	+0.48
Curveball29% use	29%	84.7	−14.4	−11.5	117	97	24%	+1.61
Sinker27% use	27%	94.5	10.2	+15.1	91	86	13%	−1.76

Pitch idea (fragile)

Built from his own fastball (94.5 mph) plus the typical shape 22 pitchers with his slot (46°) throw: a changeup around 87.3 mph, 2.0″ rise, +20.4″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +19 against his slider, the pitch it would take usage from (it adds to his fastball, it doesn’t replace it) (+10 to +29 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 110 on his slider’s scale; the comps’ own changeups grade 96 at the median, so that sits above 91% of them. That would out-grade 91% of the comps’ real pitches, more likely a result of how the pitch was built than of the pitch, so it isn’t queued.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Nance: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
49	José Fermin LAA · ’01	93	0.2	0.2	—
48	Pierce Johnson CIN · ’91	99	−0.1	0.0	Free agent
45	Tyler Kinley DET · ’91	100	−0.4	0.0	Free agent
45	Lake Bachar PIT · ’95	100	0.5	0.2	Pre-arb
41	Braydon Fisher TOR · ’00	87	0.0	0.4	Pre-arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Slider 57%

41% zone

Sinker 25%

52% zone

Curveball 17%

41% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.2 WAR Arbitration $1.6M*

2028 0.1 WAR Arbitration $1.8M*

2029 −0.1 WAR Arbitration $1.8M*

2030 −0.2 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AAA	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	35	1	1 IP	1 IP · 18.00 ERA · 33.3% K · 0.0% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	34	27	31.1 IP	31.1 IP · 4.60 ERA · 31.3% K · 5.2% BB