Tyler Kinley
- Free agent est. 1 yr × $1.4M ($740K–$3M) if his club option is declined
1 caution
- His $5.5M club option for 2027 is expected to be declined (projected value below it); the decision comes about five days after the World Series.
- Injured list 2026: Right elbow inflammation (Jun 10–Jun 24)
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 909 pitches
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider67% use | 67% | 87.1 | 3.0 | −1.9 | 105 | 114 | 29% | +1.47 |
| Curveball16% use | 16% | 83.1 | −8.9 | −3.9 | 99 | 104 | 27% | −0.31 |
| Four-seam15% use | 15% | 94.4 | 15.7 | +3.1 | 78 | 97 | 15% | −1.80 |
Built from his own fastball (94.4 mph) plus the typical shape 19 pitchers with his slot (45°) throw: a sweeper around 82.9 mph, −0.1″ rise, −17.8″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +17 against his curveball, the pitch with the same job (+15 to +24 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 117 on his curveball’s scale; the comps’ own sweepers grade 105 at the median, so that sits above 100% of them. That would out-grade 100% of the comps’ real pitches, more likely a result of how the pitch was built than of the pitch, so it isn’t queued.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Kinley: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | Braydon Fisher TOR · ’00 | 87 | 0.0 | 0.4 | Pre-arb |
| 48 | Pierce Johnson CIN · ’91 | 99 | −0.1 | 0.0 | Free agent |
| 45 | Tommy Nance MIN · ’91 | 98 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Arb |
| 41 | Lake Bachar PIT · ’95 | 100 | 0.5 | 0.2 | Pre-arb |
| 23 | José Fermin LAA · ’01 | 93 | 0.2 | 0.2 | — |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
His 2027 is a $5.5M club option, decided by Detroit ≈ Nov 1–5. The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →