LAD · two-way

Shohei Ohtani

Age 32 B/T L/R 6′4″, 210 lb Japan MLB debut 2018

40-man

The Dodgers’ roster as it stands #1 starter · 114 IP · 2.8 WAR in the role
Two-way The Dodgers’ depth chart counts only his pitching: Keystone’s roster engine treats a two-way player as a pitcher, so his bat (582 PA projected) is left out. His full 2027 projection is 7.3 WAR.
Injured list 2026: Right biceps inflammation (Sep 11–Sep 23)
Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Full no-trade clause (public reporting): he decides.

Keystone Stuff 114 90th pct

xwOBA .399 wOBA .384

2026 fWAR 6.6

Projected 2027 WAR 7.3 at 582 PA + 117 IP · 2.8 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 603 PA

xwOBA .399

Swing decisions +0.01

Contact value +3.37

Bat speed 74.7

Squared-up / swing 23%

Blasts / swing 11%

EV90 108.7

Barrel % 16.4%

Chase % 30.0%

Zone contact 77.2%

Strikeout % 25.2%

Walk % 10.8%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vs	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Chase	Decisions	Contact
LHP	201	.385	.381	25%	7%	31%	−0.14	+3.94
RHP	402	.384	.408	25%	13%	30%	+0.07	+3.12

Attack angle: 13.4° (49% in 5–20°)
Attack direction: +0.4°
Swing length: 7.9 ft
Fast-swing rate: 45%
Pull-air %: 19.7%
Hard-hit %: 52.7%
Slash · wRC+: .275/.377/.512 · 139

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

Does the most damage down over the middle (+2.8 vs. league per 100; 1.4 standard errors on 133 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and away (−2.0), but only 0.9 standard errors from average on 89 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,115 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Ohtani: bat path, contact quality and approach

Similarity	Player	xwOBA	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
63	Griffin Conine MIA · ’97	.368	1.8	1.3	Pre-arb
61	Matt Olson ATL · ’94	.351	4.0	2.5	Signed $22.0M
52	Heriberto Hernández MIA · ’99	.348	1.7	1.6	Pre-arb
52	Corbin Carroll AZ · ’00	.342	4.2	4.4	Signed $12.6M
51	Rafael Devers SF · ’96	.343	3.4	2.7	Signed $33.0M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,335 pitches

Keystone Stuff 114

Keystone Location 99

Keystone Pitching 112

Run value (xRV) +1.26

Strikeout % 27.9%

Walk % 7.6%

Whiff % 30.4%

Chase % 30.0%

Fastball velo 97.9

Extension 6.6 ft

85.2 IP1.79 ERA2.61 FIP 34° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 34° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam45% use	45%	98.1	14.0	+5.0	108	106	27%	+1.78
Sweeper29% use	29%	85.0	3.4	−15.0	122	108	38%	+1.97
Curveball10% use	10%	75.2	−14.8	−13.4	90	62	39%	−0.32
Splitter9% use	9%	89.0	2.0	+12.7	103	96	34%	+0.13
Sinker5% use	5%	96.5	6.4	+14.2	100	60	21%	−0.38

Weak pitch to watch

Curveball grades 90 with below-average expected results; his sweeper grades 122. The best case is against lefties: the sweeper is worth +1.3 runs per 100 pitches more, 1.8 standard errors (139 and 99 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Ohtani: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
58	Gavin Williams CLE · ’99	107	3.5	2.6	Arb
55	Christian Scott NYM · ’99	115	2.1	1.8	Pre-arb
47	Zack Wheeler PHI · ’90	109	4.0	2.2	Signed $42.0M
45	Jack Perkins ATH · ’99	103	0.8	0.7	Pre-arb
43	Paul Skenes PIT · ’02	104	4.2	4.8	Arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 51%

56% zone

Sweeper 19%

48% zone

Splitter 14%

25% zone

Curveball 13%

28% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 7.3 WAR Guaranteed $70.0M

2028 6.4 WAR Guaranteed $70.0M

2029 4.8 WAR Guaranteed $70.0M

2030 3.4 WAR Guaranteed $70.0M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 43% 6/14 won · +0.2 runs

As pitcher 100% 1/1 won · +0.2 runs