Players / Player profile
NYY · P

Ryan Yarbrough

Age 34 B/T R/L 6′5″, 205 lb USA MLB debut 2018
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $2.9M ($2M–$7M)
Keystone Stuff 94 25th pct
2026 fWAR 0.7
Projected 2027 WAR 0.2 Keystone Marcel+ at 55 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,061 pitches

Keystone Stuff 94 Keystone Stuff: 94, 25th percentile
Keystone Location 112 Keystone Location: 112, 92nd percentile
Keystone Pitching 107 Keystone Pitching: 107, 79th percentile
Run value (xRV) +0.53 Run value (xRV): +0.53, 73rd percentile
Strikeout % 18.3% Strikeout %: 18.3%, 21st percentile
Walk % 8.6% Walk %: 8.6%, 53rd percentile
Whiff % 25.0% Whiff %: 25.0%, 49th percentile
Chase % 28.0% Chase %: 28.0%, 24th percentile
Fastball velo 87.1 Fastball velo: 87.1, 0th percentile
Extension 6.4 ft Extension: 6.4 ft, 43rd percentile
63.1 IP3.69 ERA3.45 FIP 17° arm3 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →FCCHST4SSI
LHP · arm angle 17° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Cutter29% use29%84.99.4+3.08111020%+0.50
Changeup23% use23%77.70.7+17.89712234%−0.47
Sweeper20% use20%71.77.2−14.71258941%+2.08
Four-seam16% use16%87.312.2+13.4869716%−0.63
Sinker13% use13%86.86.0+16.5951184%+1.37
Weak pitch to watch

Four-seam grades 86 with below-average expected results; his sweeper grades 125. The best case is against lefties: the sweeper is worth +2.1 runs per 100 pitches more, 2.8 standard errors (151 and 101 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Yarbrough: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
34Tyler Alexander TEX · ’94961.20.6Free agent
26Tyler Holton DET · ’96960.30.3Arb
19Brandon Williamson CIN · ’9894−0.10.0Arb
14Jacob Lopez ATH · ’981090.81.1Pre-arb
12Ian Seymour TB · ’98961.51.1Pre-arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Cutter 41%
46% zone
Changeup 36%
34% zone
Four-seam 10%
42% zone
Sweeper 9%
46% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.2 WAR Free agent
2028 0.0 WAR Free agent
2029 −0.1 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.3 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders33311 IP 11 IP · 4.09 ERA · 28.6% K · 2.4% BB
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.