PHI · P

José Alvarado

Age 31 B/T L/L 6′2″, 245 lb Venezuela MLB debut 2017

40-man

Free agent est. 1 yr × $4.6M ($2M–$11M) · +0.3 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan in the bullpen

Keystone Stuff 112 87th pct

2026 fWAR 0.6

Projected 2027 WAR 0.4 Keystone Marcel+ at 62 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,129 pitches

Keystone Stuff 112

Keystone Location 57

Keystone Pitching 95

Run value (xRV) +0.03

Strikeout % 25.6%

Walk % 11.4%

Whiff % 27.0%

Chase % 31.7%

Fastball velo 97.8

Extension 7.0 ft

58.1 IP5.86 ERA3.82 FIP 58° arm1 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

LHP · arm angle 58° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Sinker63% use	63%	97.8	12.4	+14.3	108	89	21%	+0.07
Cutter32% use	32%	91.5	5.2	−2.6	109	45	39%	+0.19
Curveball3% use	3%	84.7	−4.0	−0.5	118	34	30%	−2.08

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Alvarado: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
35	Mason Montgomery PIT · ’00	110	2.2	1.2	Pre-arb
22	Grant Wolfram BAL · ’96	104	1.2	0.7	Pre-arb
19	Tim Mayza PHI · ’92	94	0.8	0.3	Signed $2.8M
18	Erik Sabrowski CLE · ’97	111	1.2	0.8	Pre-arb
17	Erik Miller BOS · ’98	115	0.6	0.4	Arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Sinker 62%

50% zone

Cutter 31%

24% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.4 WAR Free agent

2028 0.3 WAR Free agent

2029 0.2 WAR Free agent

2030 0.0 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2025AAA	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	30	5	5 IP	5 IP · 0.00 ERA · 19.0% K · 19.0% BB