Players / Player profile
NYY · P

Paul Blackburn

Age 32 B/T R/R 6′1″, 196 lb USA MLB debut 2017
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $4.1M ($2M–$10M) · +0.1 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan in the bullpen
Keystone Stuff 90 13th pct
2026 fWAR 0.7
Projected 2027 WAR 0.3 Keystone Marcel+ at 76 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,237 pitches

Keystone Stuff 90 Keystone Stuff: 90, 13th percentile
Keystone Location 96 Keystone Location: 96, 38th percentile
Keystone Pitching 88 Keystone Pitching: 88, 12th percentile
Run value (xRV) +0.45 Run value (xRV): +0.45, 69th percentile
Strikeout % 20.5% Strikeout %: 20.5%, 35th percentile
Walk % 9.8% Walk %: 9.8%, 38th percentile
Whiff % 22.8% Whiff %: 22.8%, 29th percentile
Chase % 28.4% Chase %: 28.4%, 29th percentile
Fastball velo 94.3 Fastball velo: 94.3, 49th percentile
Extension 6.2 ft Extension: 6.2 ft, 28th percentile
85.0 IP1.59 ERA3.75 FIP 46° arm1 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →SICHFCCUST4S
RHP · arm angle 46° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Sinker34% use34%94.39.8+13.69010211%+0.12
Changeup21% use21%87.56.6+13.09011330%+2.23
Cutter20% use20%91.88.5−3.51009017%−1.78
Curveball14% use14%81.1−17.2−8.2918341%+1.62
Sweeper7% use7%83.8−2.7−15.21009333%+0.90
Four-seam3% use3%94.716.7+5.397639%−0.07

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Blackburn: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
38Spencer Miles TOR · ’00972.01.3Pre-arb
37Cal Quantrill TEX · ’95841.50.8Free agent
36Eduard Bazardo SEA · ’9594−0.50.0Arb
33Hunter Brown HOU · ’98981.92.6Arb
33Michael Lorenzen TOR · ’92840.20.3Free agent

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Changeup 37%
37% zone
Curveball 23%
28% zone
Cutter 21%
42% zone
Sinker 15%
44% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.3 WAR Free agent
2028 0.1 WAR Free agent
2029 0.0 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.2 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025A+A+Brooklyn Cyclones3125 IP 5 IP · 5.40 ERA · 33.3% K · 9.5% BB
2025AAAABinghamton Rumble Ponies3114.1 IP 4.1 IP · 6.23 ERA · 38.9% K · 16.7% BB
2025AAAAAASyracuse Mets31842.1 IP 42.1 IP · 2.55 ERA · 20.4% K · 7.2% BB
2025ROKROKFCL Mets3113.2 IP 3.2 IP · 2.45 ERA · 53.3% K · 13.3% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As pitcher 0% 0/1 won · 0.0 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.