Players / Player profile
TEX · C

Elias Díaz

Age 35 B/T R/R 6′1″, 223 lb Venezuela MLB debut 2015
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $1.6M ($810K–$4M)
xwOBA .275 wOBA .295
2026 fWAR 0.5
Projected 2027 WAR 0.0 Keystone Marcel+ at 253 PA

Hitting · 2026

236 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .275 xwOBA: .275
Swing decisions −0.70 Swing decisions: −0.70
Contact value −0.68 Contact value: −0.68
Bat speed 75.0 Bat speed: 75.0
Squared-up / swing 16% Squared-up / swing: 16%
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%
EV90 105.8 EV90: 105.8
Barrel % 9.6% Barrel %: 9.6%
Chase % 37.9% Chase %: 37.9%
Zone contact 81.0% Zone contact: 81.0%
Strikeout % 24.6% Strikeout %: 24.6%
Walk % 3.4% Walk %: 3.4%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP105.360.33022%3%42%−1.25+1.66
RHP131.244.23027%4%35%−0.25−2.60
Attack angle
8.4° (55% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−5.9°
Swing length
7.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
46%
Pull-air %
17.4%
Hard-hit %
40.4%
Slash · wRC+
.234/.266/.404 · 83

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.3+0.1+0.6+0.2−0.2+0.6−2.0−3.2+2.1+0.2+2.7−2.3+1.9+0.9−0.6−0.7−3.0−0.6+4.0−2.0−1.4+0.5−1.6−3.7−1.5RHB

Does the most damage down and away (+4.0 vs. league per 100; 1.8 standard errors on 56 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up over the middle (−3.2), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 39 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 853 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Díaz: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
66Jesús Sánchez AZ · ’97.320−0.40.4Free agent
63Amed Rosario NYY · ’95.309−0.20.0Free agent
58Konnor Griffin PIT · ’06.3161.41.7Signed $3.3M
57Jarren Duran BOS · ’96.3060.52.3Arb
56Jackson Merrill SD · ’03.3484.24.1Signed $7.1M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
C +4.4 +16.9
1B −2.0prior −17.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
No MLB fielding yet.

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA)

No directional data (needs a qualified season at one position).

Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)
Arm strength —
Sprint speed 24.4 ft/s · 2nd
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
Too few balls in his zone.

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.0 WAR Free agent
2028 −0.4 WAR Free agent
2029 −0.8 WAR Free agent
2030 −1.2 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAAOmaha Storm Chasers351035 PA 35 PA · .219/.286/.250 · 0 HR · 22.9% K · 2.9% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 100% 2/2 won · −0.5 runs
As catcher 58% 37/64 won · +0.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.