Cristian Jauregui

Plan for 2027

1. 1
   Approach medium ask Swing less at pitches out of the zone

   He chases more often than 79% of the Florida State League hitters (150+ PA): the 79th percentile for chasing. The player page’s tracking bar ranks the other way (higher is better). The target beats regression to the mean: it is his expected next season with no plan (a value this far from the Bradenton (FSL) median tends to come back part of the way) plus the step a quarter of similar players beat. At 20, he’s about 4 years younger than the typical Bradenton (FSL) player, so the level median is a high bar.

   Chase rate: 31% target 27% no plan ≈ 30% Check at the end of the 2027 season · noise then ±2% If he moves up to High-A Greensboro or Double-A Altoona, there’s no public pitch tracking: check his strikeout and walk rates in box scores instead. There’s no level-adjusted target, because box scores don’t carry this goal’s measure; the club’s own tracking does. Bradenton (FSL) tracking
2. 2
   Contact high ask Cut the strikeouts

   He strikes out more often than 69% of the Florida State League hitters (150+ PA): the 69th percentile for strikeouts. The player page’s tracking bar ranks the other way (higher is better). The target beats regression to the mean: it is his expected next season with no plan (a value this far from the Bradenton (FSL) median tends to come back part of the way) plus the step a quarter of similar players beat. At 20, he’s about 4 years younger than the typical Bradenton (FSL) player, so the level median is a high bar.

   Strikeout rate: 28% target 24% no plan ≈ 27% No one-season check: a lean. Telling this target from noise takes about 467 plate appearances; he had 303 in 2026. If he moves up, there’s no public pitch tracking: check his strikeout rate (K%) in box scores instead. Level-adjusted targets: K% at or under 23.5% at High-A Greensboro and 23.6% at Double-A Altoona: the FSL target shifted by each league’s 2026 strikeout rate (South Atlantic League 24.6%, Eastern League 24.7%, FSL 24.8%). Or the club’s own tracking. Bradenton (FSL) tracking
3. 3
   Impact high ask Hit the ball harder

   Average exit velocity ranks in the 19th percentile of the Florida State League hitters (150+ PA). The target beats regression to the mean: it is his expected next season with no plan (a value this far from the Bradenton (FSL) median tends to come back part of the way) plus the step a quarter of similar players beat. At 20, he’s about 4 years younger than the typical Bradenton (FSL) player, so the level median is a high bar.

   Exit velocity: 83.7 mph target 85.6 mph no plan ≈ 84.2 mph No one-season check: a lean. Telling this target from noise takes about 332 balls in play; he had 184 in 2026. If he moves up to High-A Greensboro or Double-A Altoona, there’s no public pitch tracking: check his isolated power (ISO) in box scores as a rough stand-in instead. There’s no level-adjusted target, because box scores don’t carry this goal’s measure; the club’s own tracking does. Bradenton (FSL) tracking

Each goal is checked when his sample can tell the target from noise: the 2027 All-Star break if it can by then, else season’s end or the sample it needs; if no single season can, it’s a lean. Coach card