David Matoma
Development · trends & plan
Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.
Plan for 2027
- 1 Command medium ask Cut the walks
Walks a bigger share of batters than 99% of the Florida State League pitchers (500+ pitches): the 99th percentile for walks. The player page’s tracking bar ranks the other way (higher is better). The target beats regression to the mean: it is his expected next season with no plan (a value this far from the Bradenton (FSL) median tends to come back part of the way) plus the step a quarter of similar players beat. At 20, he’s about 4 years younger than the typical Bradenton (FSL) player, so the level median is a high bar.
Walk rate: 24.0% target 16.4% no plan ≈ 18.6% Check at the 2027 All-Star break · noise then ±3.8% If he moves up, there’s no public pitch tracking: check his walk rate (BB%) in box scores instead. Level-adjusted targets: BB% at or under 15.8% at High-A Greensboro and 14.5% at Double-A Altoona: the FSL target shifted by each league’s 2026 walk rate (South Atlantic League 12.0%, Eastern League 10.7%, FSL 12.6%). Or the club’s own tracking. Bradenton (FSL) tracking - 2 Stuff high ask Miss more bats
Ranks in the 29th percentile of the Florida State League pitchers (500+ pitches) on whiff rate. The target beats regression to the mean: it is his expected next season with no plan (a value this far from the Bradenton (FSL) median tends to come back part of the way) plus the step a quarter of similar players beat. At 20, he’s about 4 years younger than the typical Bradenton (FSL) player, so the level median is a high bar.
Whiff rate: 26% target 29% no plan ≈ 27% No one-season check: a lean. Telling this target from noise takes about 673 swings; he had 303 in 2026. If he moves up to High-A Greensboro or Double-A Altoona, there’s no public pitch tracking: check his strikeout rate (K%) in box scores instead. There’s no level-adjusted target, because box scores don’t carry this goal’s measure; the club’s own tracking does. Bradenton (FSL) tracking - ✓ Keep Keep the gain: sinker velocity (primary fastball) up
2025 → 2026 at Bradenton (FSL).
Sinker velocity (primary fastball): 96.0 mph→ 96.9 mph
Each goal is checked when his sample can tell the target from noise: the 2027 All-Star break if it can by then, else season’s end or the sample it needs; if no single season can, it’s a lean. Coach card
Trends · Bradenton
Clear changes
- ▲ sinker velocity (primary fastball) 96.0 mph → 96.9 mph +0.9 mph 2025 → 2026 · Bradenton
Florida State League tracking · 2026 percentiles
vs. 147 Florida State League pitchers (500+ pitches) · 763 tracked pitches · the share he beats, so higher is better (fewer walks)
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026A | A | Bradenton Marauders | 20 | 33 | 36.2 IP | 36.2 IP · 9.08 ERA · 22.1% K · 24.1% BB |
| 2026ROK | ROK | FCL Pirates | 20 | 1 | 1.2 IP | 1.2 IP · 0.00 ERA · 16.7% K · 16.7% BB |
| 2025A | A | Bradenton Marauders | 19 | 32 | 42.1 IP | 42.1 IP · 4.25 ERA · 20.6% K · 13.3% BB |
Prospect Pipeline: Perf+ 83 over his 2026 season (201 BF, mostly A), 2.1 years younger than his level; trend −11.8 since 2025. Tag: Watch. MiLB Stuff 97 on 763 tracked A pitches. Prospects →
FanGraphs: FV 35+ · ETA 2028. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks; where he has it, the development panel above shows it.