Colt Keith
- Detroit’s roster as it stands starts at 3B · 453 PA · 2.0 WAR in the role
- Injured list 2026: (Sep 21–Sep 28)
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young and cheap for years (age 25, about $32M of surplus value through 2032): a core piece.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 423 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 25 | .172 | .235 | 16% | 0% | 23% | −1.04 | −2.81 |
| RHP | 398 | .335 | .339 | 20% | 8% | 25% | +0.22 | +0.62 |
- Attack angle
- 10.8° (49% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −2.4°
- Swing length
- 6.9 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 19%
- Pull-air %
- 16.6%
- Hard-hit %
- 42.2%
- Slash · wRC+
- .258/.322/.406 · 104
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage middle-away (+2.5 vs. league per 100; 1.2 standard errors on 101 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest middle-in (−3.3), but only 1.5 standard errors from average on 68 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,484 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Keith: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | Josh Jung TEX · ’98 | .348 | 3.2 | 2.0 | Arb |
| 62 | Adley Rutschman BOS · ’98 | .327 | 3.0 | 1.9 | Arb |
| 59 | Hunter Feduccia LAD · ’97 | .315 | 0.5 | 0.1 | — |
| 59 | Victor Caratini MIN · ’93 | .305 | 0.7 | 0.7 | Signed $6.5M |
| 57 | Hao-Yu Lee DET · ’03 | .303 | 0.5 | 0.8 | Pre-arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1B | −2 | −2 | −1.2 | −3.2 | 492 |
| 2026 | 3B | 0 | 0 | +0.5 | +0.5 | 1,747 |
| 2025 | 1B | 0 | 0 | −0.1 | −0.1 | 628 |
| 2025 | 2B | −1 | −1 | −0.4 | −1.4 | 734 |
| 2025 | 3B | −2 | −1 | −0.5 | −1.5 | 1,100 |
| 2024 | 2B | 0 | 0 | −1.5 | −1.5 | 4,534 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
At 3B in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−2 outs): a coaching target.
Tools (percentile; arm among 2Bs)| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | 130 | −0.2 |
| 2025 | 3B | 89 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 2B | 76 | +2.6 |
| 2024 | 2B | 440 | −8.0 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant