Players / Player profile
BAL · 3B

Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Age 26 B/T R/R 6′1″, 224 lb USA MLB debut 2023
40-man
  • Baltimore’s roster as it stands part-time 3B · 322 PA (3B 322) · 1.0 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Available at a price: BAL 23% playoff odds; control through 2030.
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −2.0 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.11 wins over 320 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.79 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Pulls 24% of his batted balls in the air, top quarter of right-handed hitters. Park Fit →
xwOBA .333 wOBA .361
2026 fWAR 1.7
Projected 2027 WAR 0.7 at 320 PA · 1.0 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026

212 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .333 xwOBA: .333
Swing decisions −1.34 Swing decisions: −1.34
Contact value +2.02 Contact value: +2.02
Bat speed 73.6 Bat speed: 73.6
Squared-up / swing 16% Squared-up / swing: 16%
Blasts / swing 7% Blasts / swing: 7%
EV90 105.7 EV90: 105.7
Barrel % 14.0% Barrel %: 14.0%
Chase % 46.4% Chase %: 46.4%
Zone contact 81.2% Zone contact: 81.2%
Strikeout % 25.9% Strikeout %: 25.9%
Walk % 4.7% Walk %: 4.7%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP78.423.42331%9%47%−1.03+4.17
RHP134.325.28023%2%46%−1.52+0.82
Attack angle
14.3° (53% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−0.4°
Swing length
7.4 ft
Fast-swing rate
31%
Pull-air %
27.3%
Hard-hit %
37.8%
Slash · wRC+
.277/.326/.513 · 133

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.3+0.3+0.6−0.1−0.1−1.3−2.0+0.1+3.5+4.2+1.4+2.80.0+2.3+3.5+0.1−0.3+5.4+0.9−0.3−0.1−2.1+1.7−2.3−1.4RHB

Does the most damage down over the middle (+5.4 vs. league per 100; 2.4 standard errors on 43 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and in (−2.0), but only 0.9 standard errors from average on 33 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 708 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Encarnacion-Strand: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
60Mickey Moniak COL · ’98.2790.40.3Signed $7.3M
55Hunter Goodman COL · ’99.3242.52.0Arb
44Jose Siri LAA · ’95.3070.60.5Arb
40CJ Abrams WSH · ’00.3323.72.7Arb
38Jackson Merrill SD · ’03.3484.24.1Signed $7.1M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B +1.3 +3.8
2B −0.7prior −1.2
1B +4.9 −10.6
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B000.00.05
20263B+3+2−0.5+1.51,750
20253B000.00.0266
20251B−2−1−0.3−1.3954
20241B+1+1+0.1+1.11,088
2023RF000.00.015
20233B+100.00.0169
20231B−2−1−0.1−1.11,180

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 3B)
2026 · 3B In (charging) +2Back +1Toward 3B line +1Toward 1B line 0vs. RHH +6vs. LHH −3
Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)
Arm at 3B 85.8 mph · 81st
Sprint speed 26.8 ft/s · 34th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20263B144−0.7
20251B49+0.9
20241B75−0.9

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.7 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 0.6 WAR Arbitration $2.4M*
2029 0.5 WAR Arbitration $2.8M*
2030 0.3 WAR Arbitration $3.3M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAANorfolk Tides2671297 PA 297 PA · .266/.304/.544 · 19 HR · 30.6% K · 4.7% BB
2025AAAAAALouisville Bats2562252 PA 252 PA · .245/.310/.493 · 11 HR · 24.6% K · 6.7% BB
2025ROKROKACL Reds2527 PA 7 PA · .286/.286/.429 · 0 HR · 42.9% K · 0.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 0% 0/2 won · −0.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.