Players / Player profile
MIL · SS

Joey Ortiz

Age 28 B/T R/R 5′10″, 192 lb USA MLB debut 2023
40-man
  • Milwaukee’s roster as it stands starts at 3B · 453 PA · 2.1 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: MIL expects to contend (81% playoff odds) and he’s a regular.
xwOBA .299 wOBA .327
2026 fWAR 2.9
Projected 2027 WAR 2.2 at 458 PA · 2.1 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 414 PA

xwOBA .299 xwOBA: .299, 23rd percentile
Swing decisions −0.88 Swing decisions: −0.88, 13th percentile
Contact value −0.13 Contact value: −0.13, 41st percentile
Bat speed 73.3 Bat speed: 73.3, 67th percentile
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%, 48th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 60th percentile
EV90 104.8 EV90: 104.8, 61st percentile
Barrel % 4.0% Barrel %: 4.0%, 17th percentile
Chase % 32.6% Chase %: 32.6%, 31st percentile
Zone contact 90.6% Zone contact: 90.6%, 90th percentile
Strikeout % 19.8% Strikeout %: 19.8%, 61st percentile
Walk % 8.5% Walk %: 8.5%, 47th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP150.305.28721%8%33%−0.83−0.34
RHP264.340.30619%9%32%−0.91+0.03
Attack angle
3.1° (37% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−1.2°
Swing length
7.5 ft
Fast-swing rate
31%
Pull-air %
9.4%
Hard-hit %
37.7%
Slash · wRC+
.270/.329/.402 · 103

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.7−0.3−0.8−1.3−0.4+0.5+0.3−0.2−0.3+1.6−0.4+3.0−0.2−0.1+1.8+0.6+4.0−0.5−2.6−1.0−0.6+0.1+0.1+0.8−0.1RHB

Does the most damage down and in (+4.0 vs. league per 100; 1.7 standard errors on 59 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down and away (−2.6), but only 1.2 standard errors from average on 75 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,471 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Ortiz: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
60Pedro Ramírez CHC · ’04.2821.11.4Pre-arb
55Andy Pages LAD · ’00.3434.53.3Arb
52Iván Herrera STL · ’00.3351.42.2Arb
49Alejandro Osuna TEX · ’02.308−0.40.1—
49Leody Taveras BAL · ’98.2800.40.2Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
SS +8.1 +15.6
3B +12.2 +14.7
2B +8.5prior +8.0
1B +16.0prior +0.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20262B000.00.06
20263B+8+6+0.3+6.31,573
2026SS+8+6+0.4+6.42,389
2025SS+13+10+1.1+11.15,114
20242B000.00.0130
2024SS000.00.0160
20243B+11+8+1.0+9.04,616
20233B000.00.071
2023SS+100.00.0107
20232B000.00.0200

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 3B, his 2027 spot)
2024 · 3B In (charging) +4Back 0Toward 3B line +5Toward 1B line +3vs. RHH +11vs. LHH 0
Tools (percentile; arm among SSs)
Arm at SS 83.0 mph · 43rd
Sprint speed 29.1 ft/s · 92nd
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026SS220+6.5
20263B115+7.3
2025SS495−3.4
20243B376+8.5

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.2 WAR Arbitration $3.9M*
2028 2.0 WAR Arbitration $7.5M*
2029 1.7 WAR Arbitration $11.8M*
2030 1.3 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 57% 4/7 won · +0.1 runs
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