TB · P
Kevin Kelly
Age 28 B/T R/R 6′2″, 195 lb USA MLB debut 2023
- Tampa Bay’s roster as it stands bullpen · 56 IP · 0.5 WAR in the role
- Trade read Available at a price: TB 36% playoff odds; control through 2029.
Keystone Stuff 100 47th pct
2026 fWAR 1.4
Projected 2027 WAR 0.6 at 71 IP · 0.5 in his 2027 role
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 987 pitches
73.2 IP2.44 ERA3.02 FIP 1° arm4 SV
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker58% use | 58% | 91.3 | −4.1 | +17.1 | 106 | 109 | 17% | +0.73 |
| Changeup28% use | 28% | 85.9 | −7.5 | +12.4 | 94 | 98 | 35% | +0.91 |
| Four-seam7% use | 7% | 93.2 | 9.9 | +12.9 | 87 | 94 | 38% | −0.17 |
| Sweeper7% use | 7% | 78.3 | 5.9 | −18.6 | 87 | 80 | 20% | +1.13 |
No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Kelly: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Greg Weissert BOS · ’95 | 100 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Arb |
| 18 | John Schreiber NYY · ’94 | 98 | −0.2 | 0.1 | Free agent |
| 15 | Logan Webb SF · ’96 | 94 | 3.1 | 3.3 | Signed $23.0M |
| 7 | Grant Anderson MIL · ’97 | 96 | 0.2 | 0.1 | Arb |
| 0 | Landen Roupp SF · ’98 | 97 | 2.5 | 2.0 | Pre-arb |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
2027 0.6 WAR Arbitration $2.9M*
2028 0.6 WAR Arbitration $4.0M*
2029 0.5 WAR Arbitration $4.2M*
2030 0.3 WAR Free agent
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Durham Bulls | 27 | 11 | 11 IP | 11 IP · 1.64 ERA · 32.6% K · 2.2% BB |
| 2025ROK | ROK | FCL Rays | 27 | 1 | 1 IP | 1 IP · 9.00 ERA · 60.0% K · 0.0% BB |