Players / Player profile
ATL · C

Drake Baldwin

Age 25 B/T L/R 6′0″, 225 lb USA MLB debut 2025
40-man
  • Atlanta’s roster as it stands starts at C · 521 PA · 3.9 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Strained right oblique muscle (May 19–Jun 15)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young, controllable regular (age 26, control through 2030): the kind of player clubs build around.
xwOBA .371 wOBA .361
2026 fWAR 3.3
Projected 2027 WAR 3.2 at 552 PA · 3.9 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 613 PA

xwOBA .371 xwOBA: .371, 94th percentile
Swing decisions −0.61 Swing decisions: −0.61, 22nd percentile
Contact value +2.85 Contact value: +2.85, 97th percentile
Bat speed 75.4 Bat speed: 75.4, 90th percentile
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%, 43rd percentile
Blasts / swing 12% Blasts / swing: 12%, 91st percentile
EV90 105.5 EV90: 105.5, 70th percentile
Barrel % 12.9% Barrel %: 12.9%, 88th percentile
Chase % 34.4% Chase %: 34.4%, 23rd percentile
Zone contact 83.7% Zone contact: 83.7%, 44th percentile
Strikeout % 21.5% Strikeout %: 21.5%, 50th percentile
Walk % 8.6% Walk %: 8.6%, 49th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP224.316.34122%8%34%−1.01+2.85
RHP389.387.38821%9%35%−0.40+2.86
Attack angle
12.2° (47% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+4.2°
Swing length
7.3 ft
Fast-swing rate
52%
Pull-air %
13.6%
Hard-hit %
50.6%
Slash · wRC+
.284/.358/.459 · 126

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.6+1.0+1.4+1.0+0.3+1.4+0.1+0.4−2.4+0.1−1.0+1.1+0.3+1.9−1.3+1.2−0.3+1.5+0.6−0.7−2.2+2.0+3.0−0.50.0LHB

Does the most damage middle-in (+1.9 vs. league per 100; 0.9 standard errors on 110 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and in (−2.4), but only 1.1 standard errors from average on 69 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,147 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Baldwin: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
74Dominic Canzone SEA · ’97.3592.81.9Arb
69Jackson Chourio MIL · ’04.3434.63.9Signed $8.3M
66Shea Langeliers ATH · ’97.3522.32.4Arb
61Tim Tawa AZ · ’99.3230.20.2Pre-arb
56Corbin Carroll AZ · ’00.3424.24.4Signed $12.6M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
C −2.1 +10.4
1B −2.0prior −17.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
No MLB fielding yet.

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA)

No directional data (needs a qualified season at one position).

Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)
Arm strength —
Sprint speed 26.0 ft/s · 17th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
Too few balls in his zone.

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 3.2 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 3.2 WAR Arbitration $5.1M*
2029 3.0 WAR Arbitration $10.0M*
2030 2.8 WAR Arbitration $17.2M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAAGwinnett Stripers2513 PA 3 PA · .333/.333/1.333 · 1 HR · 0.0% K · 0.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 100% 1/1 won · −0.4 runs
As catcher 66% 38/58 won · −0.6 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.