Players / Player profile
DET · RF

Kerry Carpenter

Age 29 B/T L/R 6′1″, 220 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Detroit’s roster as it stands starts at DH · 375 PA · 0.6 WAR in the role
  • Injured list Ended 2026 on the 60-day IL: Left foot plantar fasciitis (since Jul 27)
  • Trade read Available at a price: DET 52% playoff odds; control through 2028.
xwOBA .298 wOBA .311
2026 fWAR −0.6
Projected 2027 WAR 0.7 at 376 PA · 0.6 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026

259 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .298 xwOBA: .298
Swing decisions −1.42 Swing decisions: −1.42
Contact value −0.14 Contact value: −0.14
Bat speed 71.7 Bat speed: 71.7
Squared-up / swing 19% Squared-up / swing: 19%
Blasts / swing 5% Blasts / swing: 5%
EV90 102.3 EV90: 102.3
Barrel % 9.6% Barrel %: 9.6%
Chase % 36.3% Chase %: 36.3%
Zone contact 81.9% Zone contact: 81.9%
Strikeout % 29.0% Strikeout %: 29.0%
Walk % 7.0% Walk %: 7.0%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP27.217.27030%4%30%−2.55+0.15
RHP232.322.30129%7%37%−1.30−0.23
Attack angle
17.8° (48% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−0.9°
Swing length
7.4 ft
Fast-swing rate
15%
Pull-air %
23.3%
Hard-hit %
44.6%
Slash · wRC+
.208/.276/.416 · 90

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.2−1.2+2.1−1.7+0.8+0.3−0.6−1.8+3.0+0.3−2.1+2.7−3.1+1.4−1.2−0.3+1.2+1.9−0.90.0−0.3−0.7−0.6+0.5−1.3LHB

Does the most damage up and in (+3.0 vs. league per 100; 1.4 standard errors on 23 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−3.1), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 45 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 921 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Carpenter: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
60Daniel Schneemann CLE · ’97.2920.60.7Pre-arb
59Derek Hill PHI · ’95.2961.00.8Arb
57CJ Abrams WSH · ’00.3323.72.7Arb
57Zach Neto LAA · ’01.3173.93.4Arb
56Kyle Manzardo CLE · ’00.305−0.20.5Pre-arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF −6.3 −13.8
LF −8.4 −18.9
1B −5.8prior −21.3
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026LF−1−10.0−1.0106
2026RF−6−6−0.3−6.31,323
2025LF00−0.2−0.2770
2025RF−3−3−0.4−3.41,744
2024LF000.00.095
2024RF+1+1−0.5+0.51,310
2023LF−1−1+0.1−0.9310
2023RF−3−3+0.5−2.52,720

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2025 · RF2026 · RF In (charging) 0−2Back 0−2Toward 3B line −3−2Toward 1B line 0−2vs. RHH −4−5vs. LHH +1−3

At RF in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)
Arm at RF 86.1 mph · 30th
Sprint speed 26.9 ft/s · 37th
Reaction −0.8 ft · 23rd
Burst −0.2 ft · 41st
Route +0.2 ft · 59th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★090%
★★★★020%
★★★1425%
★★51050%
★5683%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF119−6.1
2025RF173−1.2
2025LF73+1.3
2024RF136+1.4

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.7 WAR Arbitration $3.3M*
2028 0.5 WAR Arbitration $5.2M*
2029 0.2 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.2 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAAToledo Mud Hens2826 PA 6 PA · .333/.667/.333 · 0 HR · 16.7% K · 50.0% BB
2025AAAAAAToledo Mud Hens27416 PA 16 PA · .133/.188/.333 · 1 HR · 25.0% K · 6.3% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 33% 2/6 won · 0.0 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.