Players / Player profile
BAL · 3B

Blaze Alexander

Age 27 B/T R/R 5′11″, 200 lb USA MLB debut 2024
40-man
  • Baltimore’s roster as it stands starts at 2B · 370 PA · 1.2 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Low back discomfort (Sep 9–Sep 28)
  • Trade read Available at a price: BAL 23% playoff odds; control through 2030.
xwOBA .358 wOBA .353
2026 fWAR 1.5
Projected 2027 WAR 1.2 at 371 PA · 1.2 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026

289 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .358 xwOBA: .358
Swing decisions +1.12 Swing decisions: +1.12
Contact value +1.34 Contact value: +1.34
Bat speed 72.1 Bat speed: 72.1
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%
Blasts / swing 7% Blasts / swing: 7%
EV90 103.3 EV90: 103.3
Barrel % 6.6% Barrel %: 6.6%
Chase % 30.2% Chase %: 30.2%
Zone contact 80.3% Zone contact: 80.3%
Strikeout % 21.8% Strikeout %: 21.8%
Walk % 6.2% Walk %: 6.2%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP103.295.31225%6%30%+1.09+0.02
RHP186.386.38420%6%30%+1.15+2.14
Attack angle
8.0° (49% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+5.4°
Swing length
7.4 ft
Fast-swing rate
22%
Pull-air %
12.9%
Hard-hit %
49.8%
Slash · wRC+
.303/.358/.414 · 121

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.8+2.1−0.9+0.5−0.5+0.5+3.5+0.3−3.3−0.3−1.5+6.1−1.7−0.4+0.1+2.0+0.8−0.9+1.9+0.6+0.7+0.3−1.5−1.9+2.6RHB

Does the most damage middle-in (+6.1 vs. league per 100; 2.7 standard errors on 36 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and away (−3.3), but only 1.5 standard errors from average on 52 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,018 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Alexander: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
69Trea Turner PHI · ’93.2941.12.2Signed $27.3M
66Patrick Bailey CLE · ’99.3091.01.8Arb
62J.T. Realmuto PHI · ’91.3160.70.5Signed $15.0M
62Paul Goldschmidt NYY · ’87.3111.60.0Free agent
61Ezequiel Duran TEX · ’99.3024.42.2Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B +0.8 +3.3
2B −1.6 +0.9
SS −10.9 −6.4
1B +6.3prior −9.2
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF000.00.0154
2026LF00−0.1−0.1188
2026CF−2−20.0−2.0203
2026SS−1−1−0.1−1.1344
20262B−1−1−0.2−1.2601
20263B−10−0.4−0.41,438
2025LF000.00.023
2025CF00+0.1+0.185
20252B+10+0.3+0.3490
20253B00+1.2+1.21,868
20243B+1+1−0.3+0.8234
20242B+2+1−0.6+0.4524
2024SS−8−6−0.7−6.7613

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 2B, his 2027 spot)
2024 · 2B In (charging) 0Back −2Toward 3B line 0Toward 1B line −3vs. RHH −5vs. LHH 0

At 2B in 2024, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−3 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)
Arm at 3B 89.3 mph · 96th
Sprint speed 28.4 ft/s · 80th
Reaction +1.2 ft · 82nd
Burst −0.3 ft · 38th
Route −1.2 ft · 9th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0100%
★★★★00—
★★★1250%
★★1250%
★00—
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20263B101−5.6
20262B57+3.0
20253B181+6.7
20252B58+5.9
2024SS49−4.7
20242B62+1.0

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.2 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 1.1 WAR Arbitration $2.8M*
2029 0.8 WAR Arbitration $4.3M*
2030 0.5 WAR Arbitration $6.1M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAANorfolk Tides2728 PA 8 PA · .286/.375/.429 · 0 HR · 37.5% K · 12.5% BB
2025AAAAAAReno Aces2654241 PA 241 PA · .284/.413/.479 · 8 HR · 24.5% K · 15.8% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 45% 5/11 won · +0.1 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.