MIL · P
Aaron Ashby
Age 28 B/T R/L 6′0″, 194 lb USA MLB debut 2021
- Milwaukee’s roster as it stands late-inning relief · 66 IP · 0.9 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: MIL expects to contend (81% playoff odds) and he’s one of its best relievers.
Keystone Stuff 117 94th pct
2026 fWAR 1.5
Projected 2027 WAR 1.1 at 81 IP · 0.9 in his 2027 role
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,582 pitches
89.1 IP3.12 ERA3.11 FIP 54° arm4 SV
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker52% use | 52% | 97.7 | 8.4 | +13.7 | 104 | 99 | 17% | +0.35 |
| Curveball22% use | 22% | 83.7 | −17.2 | −7.0 | 132 | 89 | 52% | +1.53 |
| Changeup12% use | 12% | 91.9 | 4.0 | +13.3 | 104 | 83 | 49% | +0.54 |
| Slider12% use | 12% | 85.1 | −6.5 | −8.9 | 119 | 92 | 57% | +2.91 |
No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Ashby: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | DL Hall MIL · ’98 | 111 | 0.3 | 0.4 | Arb |
| 23 | Erik Sabrowski CLE · ’97 | 111 | 1.2 | 0.8 | Pre-arb |
| 22 | Erik Miller BOS · ’98 | 115 | 0.6 | 0.4 | Arb |
| 21 | Grant Wolfram BAL · ’96 | 104 | 1.2 | 0.7 | Pre-arb |
| 17 | Caleb Thielbar CHC · ’87 | 111 | −0.2 | 0.1 | Free agent |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
2027 1.1 WAR Guaranteed $7.7M
2028 1.1 WAR Club option $9.0M
2029 1.0 WAR Club option $13.0M
2030 0.8 WAR Free agent
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 27 | 4 | 6 IP | 6 IP · 1.50 ERA · 16.0% K · 20.0% BB |
| 2025ROK | ROK | ACL Brewers | 27 | 1 | 1.1 IP | 1.1 IP · 20.25 ERA · 11.1% K · 22.2% BB |