BAL · P

Rico Garcia

Age 32 B/T R/R 5′9″, 215 lb USA MLB debut 2019

40-man

Baltimore’s roster as it stands bullpen · 55 IP · 0.4 WAR in the role
Trade read Likely available: BAL projects to miss the playoffs (23% odds) and he’s a veteran (age 33 in 2027): a natural trade candidate.

Keystone Stuff 101 52nd pct

2026 fWAR 0.8

Projected 2027 WAR 0.4 at 67 IP · 0.4 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 997 pitches

Keystone Stuff 101

Keystone Location 104

Keystone Pitching 102

Run value (xRV) +1.02

Strikeout % 25.7%

Walk % 8.3%

Whiff % 31.9%

Chase % 29.5%

Fastball velo 95.4

Extension 5.9 ft

67.0 IP3.09 ERA3.89 FIP 47° arm10 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 47° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam33% use	33%	95.4	17.7	+11.9	101	94	23%	−0.53
Changeup27% use	27%	86.7	13.5	+15.6	98	109	43%	+2.70
Curveball24% use	24%	87.1	−4.6	+0.5	105	106	34%	+1.89
Slider15% use	15%	89.0	6.6	−1.0	96	101	26%	+0.02

Weak pitch to watch

Slider grades 96 with below-average expected results; his curveball grades 105. The best case is against righties: the curveball is worth +0.4 runs per 100 pitches more, 0.5 standard errors (114 and 150 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.

Pitch idea (fragile)

Built from his own fastball (95.4 mph) plus the typical shape 23 pitchers with his slot (47°) throw: a sinker around 95.4 mph, 14.2″ rise, +17.9″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +13 against his changeup, his weakest pitch that breaks the same way (+9 to +20 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 111 on his changeup’s scale; the comps’ own sinkers grade 94 at the median, so that sits above 96% of them. That would out-grade 96% of the comps’ real pitches, more likely a result of how the pitch was built than of the pitch, so it isn’t queued.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Garcia: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
49	Jacob Webb CHC · ’93	102	0.3	0.2	Free agent
36	Enyel De Los Santos HOU · ’95	98	0.3	0.1	Free agent
35	Lake Bachar PIT · ’95	100	0.5	0.2	Pre-arb
35	José Fermin LAA · ’01	93	0.2	0.2	—
32	Travis Adams MIN · ’00	90	0.1	0.1	—

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Changeup 42%

44% zone

Four-seam 37%

47% zone

Curveball 20%

35% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.4 WAR Pre-arb $780K*

2028 0.3 WAR Arbitration $1.9M*

2029 0.1 WAR Arbitration $1.9M*

2030 0.0 WAR Arbitration $1.9M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2025AAA	AAA	Syracuse Mets	31	24	30.1 IP	30.1 IP · 4.45 ERA · 27.4% K · 14.8% BB