Dustin May
- Free agent est. 2 yr × $13.3M ($5M–$26M) if his mutual option is declined · +1.0 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as rotation depth
1 caution
- Holds a $20.0M mutual option for 2027; one side almost always declines.
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,398 pitches
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam25% use | 25% | 96.9 | 15.2 | +9.8 | 101 | 99 | 23% | −0.13 |
| Cutter24% use | 24% | 93.3 | 9.3 | −1.3 | 98 | 97 | 24% | +1.04 |
| Sinker20% use | 20% | 96.6 | 6.3 | +17.5 | 108 | 92 | 16% | −0.51 |
| Sweeper18% use | 18% | 86.0 | −3.9 | −16.1 | 113 | 88 | 28% | −0.96 |
| Curveball8% use | 8% | 83.7 | −15.8 | −9.2 | 104 | 88 | 32% | −0.23 |
| Changeup6% use | 6% | 90.2 | 4.4 | +15.7 | 93 | 99 | 21% | −1.46 |
Built from his own fastball (96.9 mph) plus the typical shape 36 pitchers with his slot (35°) throw: a slider around 87.9 mph, 4.1″ rise, −5.5″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +16 against his curveball, the pitch with the same job (+7 to +20 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 119 on his curveball’s scale; the comps’ own sliders grade 106 at the median, so that sits above 97% of them. That would out-grade 97% of the comps’ real pitches, more likely a result of how the pitch was built than of the pitch, so it isn’t queued.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like May: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | George Kirby SEA · ’98 | 101 | 2.5 | 2.6 | Arb |
| 61 | Will Warren NYY · ’99 | 102 | 2.2 | 2.0 | Pre-arb |
| 56 | Luis Severino ATH · ’94 | 105 | 0.7 | 1.3 | Player option $22.0M |
| 54 | Randy Vásquez SD · ’98 | 95 | 1.4 | 1.2 | Pre-arb |
| 51 | Jake Irvin WSH · ’97 | 98 | 0.5 | 0.4 | Arb |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
His 2027 is a $20.0M mutual option, decided ≈ Nov 1–5 (either side can decline it). The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →