Players / Player profile
MIA · 1B

Kyle Stowers

Age 28 B/T L/L 6′2″, 215 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Miami’s roster as it stands starts at LF · 494 PA · 2.1 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Left hamstring strain (Aug 11–Aug 24)
  • Trade read Available at a price: MIA 38% playoff odds; control through 2029.
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: +2.3 runs per 600 PA against an average park (+0.20 wins over 502 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×1.00 (×0.99 for left-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
xwOBA .329 wOBA .341
2026 fWAR 1.6
Projected 2027 WAR 1.8 at 502 PA · 2.1 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 506 PA

xwOBA .329 xwOBA: .329, 61st percentile
Swing decisions +0.18 Swing decisions: +0.18, 55th percentile
Contact value +0.10 Contact value: +0.10, 52nd percentile
Bat speed 75.4 Bat speed: 75.4, 90th percentile
Squared-up / swing 18% Squared-up / swing: 18%, 14th percentile
Blasts / swing 11% Blasts / swing: 11%, 86th percentile
EV90 106.9 EV90: 106.9, 83rd percentile
Barrel % 12.8% Barrel %: 12.8%, 87th percentile
Chase % 33.7% Chase %: 33.7%, 26th percentile
Zone contact 76.1% Zone contact: 76.1%, 5th percentile
Strikeout % 31.8% Strikeout %: 31.8%, 4th percentile
Walk % 9.3% Walk %: 9.3%, 55th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP111.305.28630%9%31%+0.10−0.41
RHP395.351.34132%9%34%+0.20+0.20
Attack angle
15.1° (55% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−2.6°
Swing length
6.8 ft
Fast-swing rate
50%
Pull-air %
22.6%
Hard-hit %
56.6%
Slash · wRC+
.239/.331/.459 · 114

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.5+1.0−0.5−2.1−1.2+0.7−1.5−2.4+0.3−1.1+1.4+0.7+8.3+2.2−3.0−0.1+0.8−1.1+2.5−1.6−0.6−0.9+0.9−2.0−2.2LHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+8.3 vs. league per 100; 4.2 standard errors above average on 120 pitches).

Weakest up over the middle (−2.4), but only 1.1 standard errors from average on 81 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,735 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Stowers: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
55Owen Caissie MIA · ’02.301−0.50.1Pre-arb
54Brandon Lowe PIT · ’94.3314.92.5Free agent
53Griffin Conine MIA · ’97.3681.81.3Pre-arb
50Hunter Goodman COL · ’99.3242.52.0Arb
50Andrés Chaparro WSH · ’99.3421.00.5Pre-arb

Brandon Lowe (similarity 54, 2.5 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
LF −1.3 −8.8
RF −2.0 −9.5
CF −13.4 −13.9
1B −3.9 −16.4
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF+1+1−0.2+0.8429
2026LF00−0.3−0.31,023
20261B−5−4+0.1−3.92,065
2025CF00+0.1+0.1236
2025RF−2−1+0.6−0.41,170
2025LF−1−1+1.2+0.22,245
2024RF00+0.1+0.1228
2024CF−2−2+0.1−1.9396
2024LF−3−3+0.3−2.71,213
2023LF00+0.2+0.2122
2023RF00+0.3+0.3191

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at LF)
2024 · LF2025 · LF In (charging) −30Back −10Toward 3B line −10Toward 1B line +1−3vs. RHH −30vs. LHH −3−3

At LF in 2025, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−3 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among LFs)
Arm at LF 87.2 mph · 64th
Sprint speed 26.3 ft/s · 24th
Reaction +0.1 ft · 54th
Burst +0.3 ft · 58th
Route +0.3 ft · 66th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★040%
★★★★1250%
★★★00—
★★5683%
★77100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF40+1.2
2026LF92−1.9
20261B124−6.5
2025RF113−2.8
2025LF251+2.8
2024LF128+3.6
2024CF50−3.6

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.8 WAR Arbitration $4.0M*
2028 1.5 WAR Arbitration $5.5M*
2029 1.1 WAR Arbitration $8.5M*
2030 0.6 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp28519 PA 19 PA · .176/.263/.176 · 0 HR · 31.6% K · 5.3% BB
2025AAAAAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp2714 PA 4 PA · .000/.250/.000 · 0 HR · 0.0% K · 25.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 33% 4/12 won · +0.1 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.