Players / Player profile
PIT · LF

Bryan Reynolds

Age 31 B/T S/R 6′2″, 210 lb USA MLB debut 2019
Pittsburgh org 40-man
  • Winter Plan starts at LF · 602 PA · 1.4 WAR in the role
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: +1.1 runs per 600 PA against an average park (+0.11 wins over 602 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.93 (×0.92 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
xwOBA .355 wOBA .356
2026 fWAR 2.9
Projected 2027 WAR 1.2 at 615 PA · 1.4 in his 2027 role

Development · trends & plan

Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.

Trends · MLB

Bat speed 71.9 mph Sep ’26 · 98 PA Mar ’24 – Sep ’26
Chase rate 22% Sep ’26 · 98 PA Mar ’24 – Sep ’26
Zone contact 89% Sep ’26 · 98 PA Mar ’24 – Sep ’26
Exit velocity (avg) 91.6 mph Sep ’26 · 98 PA Mar ’24 – Sep ’26
xwOBA .394 Sep ’26 · 98 PA Mar ’24 – Sep ’26
Strikeout rate 18% Sep ’26 · 98 PA Mar ’24 – Sep ’26

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 697 PA

xwOBA .355 xwOBA: .355, 88th percentile
Swing decisions +1.27 Swing decisions: +1.27, 92nd percentile
Contact value +0.37 Contact value: +0.37, 59th percentile
Bat speed 72.8 Bat speed: 72.8, 61st percentile
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%, 50th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 73rd percentile
EV90 106.3 EV90: 106.3, 76th percentile
Barrel % 11.3% Barrel %: 11.3%, 75th percentile
Chase % 24.7% Chase %: 24.7%, 80th percentile
Zone contact 83.7% Zone contact: 83.7%, 44th percentile
Strikeout % 23.2% Strikeout %: 23.2%, 40th percentile
Walk % 12.3% Walk %: 12.3%, 91st percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP240.371.34522%11%27%+1.16+0.47
RHP457.348.36024%13%23%+1.32+0.34
Attack angle
11.0° (47% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+1.4°
Swing length
7.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
27%
Pull-air %
17.2%
Hard-hit %
47.8%
Slash · wRC+
.261/.365/.423 · 118

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+1.1+0.7−0.2−1.0+1.1+1.3−0.4+3.2+1.9−0.8−0.2−0.6+0.8+0.1+1.5−2.0−2.8+2.6+1.6−1.3+1.2+0.2−1.2−1.3+0.9LHB

Does the most damage up over the middle (+3.2 vs. league per 100; 1.5 standard errors on 88 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down and away (−2.8), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 96 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,645 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Reynolds: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
70Bryce Eldridge SF · ’04.3591.81.8Pre-arb
67Seiya Suzuki CHC · ’94.3414.62.6Free agent
62Gary Sánchez MIL · ’92.3360.90.2Free agent
60Wilyer Abreu BOS · ’99.3483.32.9Arb
59Ryan Jeffers MIN · ’97.3442.61.8Free agent

Seiya Suzuki (similarity 67, 2.6 WAR projected for 2027), Ryan Jeffers (similarity 59, 1.8 WAR projected for 2027) are free agents this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
LF −3.9 −11.4
RF −7.9 −15.4
1B −3.4prior −18.9
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF−2−2−0.2−2.2643
2026LF−1−1−1.0−2.04,019
2025RF−2−2−2.1−4.14,149
2024RF−3−3−0.1−3.1675
2024LF−9−8−0.8−8.84,332
2023CF−1−1−0.2−1.2511
2023LF−3−2−1.5−3.54,211

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at LF)
2024 · LF2026 · LF In (charging) −30Back −10Toward 3B line −4−3Toward 1B line −50vs. RHH −8−2vs. LHH −5−1

At LF in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−3 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among LFs)
Arm at LF 88.1 mph · 78th
Sprint speed 28.2 ft/s · 73rd
Reaction −0.6 ft · 29th
Burst −1.0 ft · 18th
Route +0.8 ft · 92nd
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★1166%
★★★★050%
★★★71354%
★★182186%
★141593%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF71−1.9
2026LF371+4.0
2025RF429+1.6
2024RF68+0.5
2024LF444−4.6

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.2 WAR Guaranteed $15.3M
2028 0.5 WAR Guaranteed $15.3M
2029 −0.3 WAR Guaranteed $15.3M
2030 −1.1 WAR Guaranteed $15.3M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 52% 12/23 won · +0.5 runs
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