Players / Player profile
ATH · RF

Carlos Cortes

Age 29 B/T L/S 5′7″, 197 lb USA MLB debut 2025
40-man
  • Trade read Available at a price: ATH sits near the seller line (27% playoff odds, within a projected win of 30%); control through 2031.
xwOBA .300 wOBA .317
2026 fWAR −0.4
Projected 2027 WAR 0.0 Keystone Marcel+ at 400 PA

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 381 PA

xwOBA .300 xwOBA: .300, 24th percentile
Swing decisions +0.23 Swing decisions: +0.23, 56th percentile
Contact value −0.94 Contact value: −0.94, 17th percentile
Bat speed 70.6 Bat speed: 70.6, 29th percentile
Squared-up / swing 24% Squared-up / swing: 24%, 68th percentile
Blasts / swing 7% Blasts / swing: 7%, 43rd percentile
EV90 103.2 EV90: 103.2, 35th percentile
Barrel % 6.1% Barrel %: 6.1%, 33rd percentile
Chase % 27.9% Chase %: 27.9%, 63rd percentile
Zone contact 84.2% Zone contact: 84.2%, 47th percentile
Strikeout % 16.5% Strikeout %: 16.5%, 79th percentile
Walk % 8.1% Walk %: 8.1%, 40th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP23.335.20126%0%29%−1.59−4.46
RHP358.316.30716%9%28%+0.31−0.82
Attack angle
6.9° (43% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−1.0°
Swing length
7.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
12%
Pull-air %
13.8%
Hard-hit %
35.7%
Slash · wRC+
.251/.318/.397 · 93

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.8+0.7−0.5+1.2−0.5−1.1+1.0−3.1+0.7+3.1−0.2−0.4−1.6−1.0−0.1−0.1−1.0−2.4+2.6−0.7−0.2+0.1−0.6−0.20.0LHB

Does the most damage down and in (+2.6 vs. league per 100; 1.2 standard errors on 68 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up over the middle (−3.1), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 83 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,396 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Cortes: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
73Freddie Freeman LAD · ’89.3642.61.2Signed $27.0M
71Cole Young SEA · ’03.3162.01.5Pre-arb
70Vaughn Grissom LAA · ’01.3090.20.1—
68Luis Rengifo SD · ’97.3060.00.3Free agent
67Carson Benge NYM · ’03.3434.33.3Pre-arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF −4.2 −11.7
LF −6.6 −14.1
1B −3.7prior −19.2
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF−6−5+0.1−4.91,292
2026LF−3−3+0.1−2.91,319
2025LF+1+1+0.1+1.1236
2025RF00+0.3+0.3567

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2025 · RF2026 · RF In (charging) 0−1Back 0−1Toward 3B line +1−4Toward 1B line 0−2vs. RHH +1−4vs. LHH 0−5

At RF in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−4 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)
Arm at RF 89.2 mph · 59th
Sprint speed 26.1 ft/s · 20th
Reaction +0.6 ft · 69th
Burst −1.4 ft · 13th
Route −0.2 ft · 34th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0100%
★★★★030%
★★★070%
★★101471%
★91090%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF137−3.4
2026LF139−2.8
2025RF49+0.9

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.0 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 −0.3 WAR Pre-arb $803K*
2029 −0.7 WAR Arbitration $1.2M*
2030 −1.1 WAR Arbitration $1.3M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAALas Vegas Aviators2871314 PA 314 PA · .322/.414/.603 · 17 HR · 14.6% K · 13.1% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 42% 5/12 won · 0.0 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.