Free agent · P

Justin Lawrence

Age 31 B/T R/R 6′3″, 211 lb Panama MLB debut 2021

Left Pittsburgh Moved to another organization Jun 21, 2026; a free agent now.
Free agent est. 1 yr × $1.3M ($660K–$3M)

Keystone Stuff 100 50th pct

2026 fWAR −0.9

Projected 2027 WAR −0.3 Keystone Marcel+ at 49 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 684 pitches

Keystone Stuff 100

Keystone Location 64

Keystone Pitching 80

Run value (xRV) −1.15

Strikeout % 24.3%

Walk % 15.8%

Whiff % 26.3%

Chase % 24.0%

Fastball velo 95.6

Extension 6.6 ft

34.1 IP7.34 ERA6.97 FIP 3° arm1 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 3° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Sweeper44% use	44%	82.1	2.0	−17.2	106	77	46%	−0.12
Sinker43% use	43%	95.5	1.4	+16.6	94	78	13%	−2.43
Four-seam14% use	14%	95.6	11.5	+12.0	99	76	22%	−0.45

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Lawrence: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
49	Colin Holderman CLE · ’95	109	0.8	0.3	Arb
47	Austin Warren NYM · ’96	98	0.1	0.1	Arb
43	Riley O'Brien STL · ’95	107	0.3	0.2	Pre-arb
43	Yohan Ramírez PIT · ’95	114	1.2	0.6	Arb
38	Grant Anderson MIL · ’97	96	0.2	0.1	Arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Sweeper 48%

32% zone

Sinker 42%

55% zone

Four-seam 10%

38% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 −0.3 WAR Free agent

2028 −0.4 WAR Free agent

2029 −0.5 WAR Free agent

2030 −0.5 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AAA	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	31	22	19.2 IP	19.2 IP · 5.49 ERA · 31.9% K · 17.6% BB
2025A	A	Bradenton Marauders	30	2	2 IP	2 IP · 0.00 ERA · 50.0% K · 12.5% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	30	6	5.1 IP	5.1 IP · 11.81 ERA · 33.3% K · 22.2% BB