TEX · P
Chris Paddack
Age 30 B/T R/R 6′5″, 217 lb USA MLB debut 2019
- Free agent est. 1 yr × $2.5M ($1M–$6M) · +0.2 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as call-up depth
1 caution
- Missed most of 2026, 57 IP in 2026: his projection rests on 2024–25, with playing time cut for the missed season. Medicals come first.
Keystone Stuff 85 5th pct
2026 fWAR 0.1
Projected 2027 WAR 0.4 Keystone Marcel+ at 114 IP
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,015 pitches
57.0 IP6.79 ERA4.85 FIP 46° arm
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam34% use | 34% | 92.9 | 18.9 | +7.2 | 91 | 112 | 16% | +0.11 |
| Changeup27% use | 27% | 84.8 | 5.7 | +15.2 | 91 | 116 | 28% | −0.19 |
| Cutter13% use | 13% | 86.4 | 7.0 | −2.9 | 93 | 93 | 23% | −0.67 |
| Curveball11% use | 11% | 76.9 | −15.3 | −7.1 | 81 | 80 | 23% | −2.48 |
| Sweeper8% use | 8% | 79.3 | −4.2 | −11.2 | 90 | 94 | 25% | −0.26 |
| Sinker6% use | 6% | 92.9 | 14.4 | +13.7 | 85 | 114 | 10% | −0.58 |
No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Paddack: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | Michael Wacha KC · ’91 | 93 | 2.4 | 1.9 | Signed $14.0M |
| 46 | Michael McGreevy STL · ’00 | 79 | 1.9 | 1.8 | Pre-arb |
| 46 | Slade Cecconi CLE · ’99 | 88 | 0.7 | 0.7 | Arb |
| 44 | Albert Suárez BAL · ’89 | 78 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Arb |
| 42 | Brandon Pfaadt AZ · ’98 | 96 | 2.2 | 2.0 | Signed $5.4M |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
2027 0.4 WAR Free agent
2028 0.2 WAR Free agent
2029 0.0 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.2 WAR Free agent
A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →