Ke'Bryan Hayes
- Cincinnati’s roster as it stands on the 40-man, off the 26-man (call-up depth)
- Injured list 2026: Left groin strain (Aug 28–Sep 7)
- Trade read Likely available: CIN projects to miss the playoffs (16% odds) and he’s a veteran (age 30 in 2027): a natural trade candidate.
Hitting · 2026
241 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 61 | .213 | .293 | 18% | 3% | 32% | −1.11 | −0.51 |
| RHP | 180 | .205 | .281 | 21% | 6% | 31% | −0.75 | −0.85 |
- Attack angle
- 5.6° (55% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −1.6°
- Swing length
- 6.8 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 5%
- Pull-air %
- 12.9%
- Hard-hit %
- 39.9%
- Slash · wRC+
- .141/.194/.225 · 13
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down and away (+1.3 vs. league per 100; 0.6 standard errors on 47 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down over the middle (−5.4; 2.3 standard errors below average on 49 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 784 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Hayes: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | Otto Lopez MIA · ’98 | .329 | 5.9 | 3.5 | Arb |
| 58 | Alec Bohm PHI · ’96 | .329 | 0.2 | 1.0 | Free agent |
| 56 | Cole Young SEA · ’03 | .316 | 2.0 | 1.5 | Pre-arb |
| 56 | Tommy Edman LAD · ’95 | .306 | 1.3 | 1.0 | Signed $15.7M |
| 56 | Carson Benge NYM · ’03 | .343 | 4.3 | 3.3 | Pre-arb |
Alec Bohm (similarity 58, 1.0 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | +5 | +4 | +1.5 | +5.5 | 2,931 |
| 2025 | 3B | +21 | +16 | +0.8 | +16.8 | 5,355 |
| 2024 | 3B | +6 | +5 | +1.8 | +6.8 | 3,520 |
| 2023 | 3B | +18 | +13 | +0.5 | +13.5 | 4,546 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | 203 | +7.4 |
| 2025 | 3B | 439 | +22.3 |
| 2024 | 3B | 298 | +6.5 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026A+ | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 29 | 2 | 6 PA | 6 PA · .167/.167/.167 · 0 HR · 0.0% K · 0.0% BB |
| 2026AAA | AAA | Louisville Bats | 29 | 3 | 14 PA | 14 PA · .583/.571/1.167 · 1 HR · 7.1% K · 7.1% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant