Players / Player profile
MIN · DH

Josh Bell

Age 34 B/T S/R 6′3″, 261 lb USA MLB debut 2016
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $1.6M ($812K–$4M) if his mutual option is declined
    1 caution
    • Holds a $10.0M mutual option for 2027; one side almost always declines.
xwOBA .336 wOBA .328
2026 fWAR 0.7
Projected 2027 WAR −0.4 Keystone Marcel+ at 512 PA

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 631 PA

xwOBA .336 xwOBA: .336, 72nd percentile
Swing decisions +0.52 Swing decisions: +0.52, 71st percentile
Contact value +0.39 Contact value: +0.39, 60th percentile
Bat speed 72.0 Bat speed: 72.0, 49th percentile
Squared-up / swing 23% Squared-up / swing: 23%, 59th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 62nd percentile
EV90 104.8 EV90: 104.8, 62nd percentile
Barrel % 9.6% Barrel %: 9.6%, 65th percentile
Chase % 29.6% Chase %: 29.6%, 51st percentile
Zone contact 83.7% Zone contact: 83.7%, 44th percentile
Strikeout % 19.7% Strikeout %: 19.7%, 62nd percentile
Walk % 8.2% Walk %: 8.2%, 43rd percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP209.320.30219%6%29%+0.39−0.76
RHP422.332.35320%9%30%+0.58+0.94
Attack angle
9.6° (57% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−2.0°
Swing length
7.9 ft
Fast-swing rate
24%
Pull-air %
18.7%
Hard-hit %
42.1%
Slash · wRC+
.255/.319/.419 · 106

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.9+1.4+2.6−0.2−0.5−1.1+3.3+0.60.0+1.0−0.9−1.9+1.1−0.6−0.8−0.8−1.4+1.1−2.80.0−0.8+1.7−0.3+0.4+0.6LHB

Does the most damage up and away (+3.3 vs. league per 100; 1.5 standard errors on 53 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down and in (−2.8), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 78 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,543 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Bell: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
65Ty France SD · ’94.3283.61.0Free agent
62Victor Mesa Jr. TB · ’01.3312.62.3Pre-arb
61Andy Pages LAD · ’00.3434.53.3Arb
60George Springer TOR · ’89.3090.90.7Free agent
60Iván Herrera STL · ’00.3351.42.2Arb

Ty France (similarity 65, 1.0 WAR projected for 2027), George Springer (similarity 60, 0.7 WAR projected for 2027) are free agents this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
1B −4.6 −17.1
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B−1−1−0.1−1.1640
20251B−4−3+0.2−2.81,116
20241B−9−7+1.7−5.33,490
20231B−3−2−3.2−5.22,073

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 1B)
2025 · 1B2026 · 1B In (charging) −2+1Back 0−1Toward 3B line −2−1Toward 1B line 00vs. RHH −1−1vs. LHH −30
Tools (percentile; arm among 1Bs)
Arm at 1B 63.5 mph · 4th
Sprint speed 26.0 ft/s · 17th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20251B71−6.2
20241B163−2.3

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 −0.4 WAR Mutual option $10.0M
2028 −1.1 WAR Free agent
2029 −1.7 WAR Free agent
2030 −2.2 WAR Free agent

His 2027 is a $10.0M mutual option, decided ≈ Nov 1–5 (either side can decline it). The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 62% 13/21 won · +0.6 runs
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