Jakob Junis
- Free agent est. 1 yr × $3.6M ($2M–$9M) if his mutual option is declined · +0.2 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan in the bullpen
1 caution
- Holds a $5.0M mutual option for 2027; one side almost always declines.
- Injured list 2026: Left adductor strain (Jul 30–Aug 15)
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 845 pitches
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper43% use | 43% | 82.1 | −0.5 | −16.4 | 99 | 105 | 19% | +0.46 |
| Changeup20% use | 20% | 86.8 | 2.2 | +13.4 | 83 | 116 | 19% | +0.22 |
| Four-seam19% use | 19% | 92.3 | 12.8 | +4.4 | 87 | 89 | 27% | −0.94 |
| Sinker18% use | 18% | 91.9 | 6.5 | +14.8 | 84 | 111 | 9% | −0.32 |
Built from his own fastball (92.3 mph) plus the typical shape 21 pitchers with his slot (30°) throw: a cutter around 88.2 mph, 6.8″ rise, −7.4″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +12 against his sweeper, his weakest pitch that breaks the same way (+5 to +16 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 111 on his sweeper’s scale; the comps’ own cutters grade 95 at the median, so that sits above 100% of them. The fits disagree, so it isn’t queued.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Junis: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | Kai-Wei Teng HOU · ’98 | 93 | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| 42 | Zach Agnos COL · ’00 | 87 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
| 37 | Juan Mejia COL · ’00 | 91 | 0.5 | 0.6 | — |
| 33 | Erick Fedde CWS · ’93 | 84 | −0.1 | 0.2 | Free agent |
| 30 | Taylor Clarke AZ · ’93 | 86 | 0.5 | 0.3 | Free agent |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
His 2027 is a $5.0M mutual option, decided ≈ Nov 1–5 (either side can decline it). The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant