Players / Player profile
SD · SS

Xander Bogaerts

Age 34 B/T R/R 6′2″, 218 lb Aruba MLB debut 2013
40-man
  • San Diego’s roster as it stands starts at SS · 495 PA · 1.9 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Full no-trade clause (public reporting): he decides.
xwOBA .325 wOBA .317
2026 fWAR 2.6
Projected 2027 WAR 1.6 at 502 PA · 1.9 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 606 PA

xwOBA .325 xwOBA: .325, 55th percentile
Swing decisions +0.88 Swing decisions: +0.88, 83rd percentile
Contact value −0.49 Contact value: −0.49, 29th percentile
Bat speed 72.4 Bat speed: 72.4, 54th percentile
Squared-up / swing 25% Squared-up / swing: 25%, 77th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 72nd percentile
EV90 104.3 EV90: 104.3, 50th percentile
Barrel % 5.5% Barrel %: 5.5%, 29th percentile
Chase % 22.8% Chase %: 22.8%, 88th percentile
Zone contact 85.3% Zone contact: 85.3%, 53rd percentile
Strikeout % 18.0% Strikeout %: 18.0%, 73rd percentile
Walk % 12.4% Walk %: 12.4%, 91st percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP156.304.32912%11%25%+0.47−0.32
RHP450.321.32420%13%22%+1.02−0.57
Attack angle
10.7° (54% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−5.6°
Swing length
7.3 ft
Fast-swing rate
26%
Pull-air %
17.1%
Hard-hit %
42.4%
Slash · wRC+
.231/.332/.344 · 95

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.9+1.5+2.4+1.2−0.2+0.4+3.8+2.9−1.8+0.7+1.7−2.3−5.2−1.2+0.5+0.5−2.2−1.3−2.3+1.0+1.5−0.8+0.1+1.5+3.0RHB

Does the most damage up and in (+3.8 vs. league per 100; 1.7 standard errors on 78 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−5.2; 2.7 standard errors below average on 139 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,195 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Bogaerts: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
64George Springer TOR · ’89.3090.90.7Free agent
63JJ Wetherholt STL · ’02.3514.63.5Signed $2.8M
61Hunter Feduccia LAD · ’97.3150.50.1—
60Gary Sánchez MIL · ’92.3360.90.2Free agent
57Lane Thomas ATL · ’95.3120.70.2Free agent

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
SS +3.8 +11.3
3B +4.3prior +3.8
2B +3.9 +3.4
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026SS+3+2+2.2+4.25,505
2025SS+7+6+1.2+7.24,509
2024SS−1−1−0.5−1.5603
20242B+6+4−2.6+1.43,078
2023SS+3+2−2.5−0.55,466

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at SS)
2025 · SS2026 · SS In (charging) +4+7Back −10Toward 3B line +5−1Toward 1B line 0−3vs. RHH +4+2vs. LHH +3+1

At SS in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−3 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among SSs)
Arm at SS 81.8 mph · 30th
Sprint speed 27.1 ft/s · 42nd
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026SS507−1.3
2025SS394+9.5
2024SS55+2.9
20242B290+4.2

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.6 WAR Guaranteed $25.5M
2028 0.8 WAR Guaranteed $25.5M
2029 0.0 WAR Guaranteed $25.5M
2030 −0.7 WAR Guaranteed $25.5M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 56% 20/36 won · +1.2 runs
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