Players / Player profile
SD · P

Robbie Ray

Age 35 B/T L/L 6′2″, 220 lb USA MLB debut 2014
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $5.2M ($2M–$10M) · +0.3 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as rotation depth
Keystone Stuff 96 32nd pct
2026 fWAR 0.9
Projected 2027 WAR 0.7 Keystone Marcel+ at 138 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,854 pitches

Keystone Stuff 96 Keystone Stuff: 96, 32nd percentile
Keystone Location 92 Keystone Location: 92, 25th percentile
Keystone Pitching 88 Keystone Pitching: 88, 11th percentile
Run value (xRV) −0.46 Run value (xRV): −0.46, 20th percentile
Strikeout % 19.9% Strikeout %: 19.9%, 31st percentile
Walk % 12.0% Walk %: 12.0%, 18th percentile
Whiff % 24.6% Whiff %: 24.6%, 47th percentile
Chase % 28.2% Chase %: 28.2%, 27th percentile
Fastball velo 93.0 Fastball velo: 93.0, 26th percentile
Extension 6.2 ft Extension: 6.2 ft, 28th percentile
165.2 IP3.59 ERA4.69 FIP 44° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →4SSLCHSIKC
LHP · arm angle 44° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Four-seam31% use31%93.117.4+9.31029420%−1.02
Slider23% use23%86.16.4−1.21009734%−1.08
Changeup19% use19%86.210.7+11.28810624%+0.67
Sinker15% use15%92.611.7+14.5968310%−0.91
Knuckle curve12% use12%79.6−7.1−4.1969138%+1.12

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Ray: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
62Matthew Liberatore STL · ’99961.11.4Arb
57Yusei Kikuchi LAA · ’911011.11.0Signed $21.0M
56Jeffrey Springs ATH · ’9296−0.40.3Free agent
56Quinn Mathews STL · ’00940.81.1Pre-arb
53Patrick Sandoval BOS · ’961061.31.3Free agent

Patrick Sandoval (similarity 53, 1.3 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 33%
39% zone
Changeup 25%
38% zone
Sinker 16%
46% zone
Slider 15%
34% zone
Knuckle curve 11%
31% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.7 WAR Free agent
2028 0.3 WAR Free agent
2029 −0.1 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.4 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.