CHC · P

Kevin Gausman

Age 35 B/T L/R 6′2″, 205 lb USA MLB debut 2013

40-man Pitch-design idea

Free agent est. 2 yr × $16.6M ($12M–$26M) · +1.0 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as rotation depth

Keystone Stuff 95 29th pct

2026 fWAR 3.1

Projected 2027 WAR 1.8 Keystone Marcel+ at 130 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 3,003 pitches

Keystone Stuff 95

Keystone Location 114

Keystone Pitching 103

Run value (xRV) +0.08

Strikeout % 24.5%

Walk % 6.3%

Whiff % 27.7%

Chase % 35.0%

Fastball velo 93.8

Extension 6.7 ft

177.2 IP4.51 ERA3.74 FIP 37° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 37° · how to read Show suggested pitch

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam51% use	51%	93.8	16.9	+10.5	98	115	15%	+0.35
Splitter39% use	39%	84.0	4.3	+13.9	96	106	43%	+0.38
Slider8% use	8%	84.1	3.4	−1.0	95	83	36%	−3.26

Pitch design

Built from his own fastball (93.8 mph) plus the typical shape 25 pitchers with his slot (37°) throw: a sweeper around 83.3 mph, 4.3″ rise, −10.6″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +12 against his slider, his weakest pitch of the same kind (+7 to +15 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 108 on his slider’s scale; the comps’ own sweepers grade 106 at the median, so that sits above 64% of them. A season-long project that may not take: about 1.9 runs a season if it does.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Gausman: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
59	Tyler Mahle ATL · ’94	94	2.1	1.9	Free agent
49	Peter Lambert HOU · ’97	90	2.4	1.6	Arb
46	Brandon Young BAL · ’98	92	1.6	1.1	Pre-arb
45	Mike Burrows HOU · ’99	90	−0.4	0.5	Pre-arb
45	Casey Mize SD · ’97	90	2.3	2.1	Free agent

Tyler Mahle (similarity 59, 1.9 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 52%

60% zone

Splitter 45%

21% zone

Slider 2%

27% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.8 WAR Free agent

2028 1.3 WAR Free agent

2029 0.8 WAR Free agent

2030 0.4 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →