Players / Player profile
AZ · 1B

Ildemaro Vargas

Age 35 B/T S/R 5′11″, 202 lb Venezuela MLB debut 2017
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $1.5M ($778K–$4M)
xwOBA .298 wOBA .309
2026 fWAR 0.5
Projected 2027 WAR −0.2 Keystone Marcel+ at 369 PA

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 483 PA

xwOBA .298 xwOBA: .298, 22nd percentile
Swing decisions −2.02 Swing decisions: −2.02, 2nd percentile
Contact value −0.02 Contact value: −0.02, 45th percentile
Bat speed 70.8 Bat speed: 70.8, 33rd percentile
Squared-up / swing 27% Squared-up / swing: 27%, 86th percentile
Blasts / swing 8% Blasts / swing: 8%, 45th percentile
EV90 102.8 EV90: 102.8, 30th percentile
Barrel % 3.2% Barrel %: 3.2%, 13th percentile
Chase % 39.2% Chase %: 39.2%, 7th percentile
Zone contact 92.0% Zone contact: 92.0%, 95th percentile
Strikeout % 9.9% Strikeout %: 9.9%, 97th percentile
Walk % 5.2% Walk %: 5.2%, 11th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP170.376.3419%4%39%−1.82+1.53
RHP313.273.27510%6%39%−2.12−0.78
Attack angle
5.7° (52% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−4.9°
Swing length
7.4 ft
Fast-swing rate
15%
Pull-air %
18.2%
Hard-hit %
35.0%
Slash · wRC+
.254/.297/.378 · 84

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−1.5−2.8+0.5−2.1−0.3+0.40.0+1.3+1.4−0.3−3.2−0.4−4.3−2.2+0.3−1.6−1.2−1.7−1.0−0.3+0.8−1.3−1.8+0.8−0.6LHB

Does the most damage up and in (+1.4 vs. league per 100; 0.6 standard errors on 30 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−4.3), but only 2.0 standard errors from average on 78 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,040 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Vargas: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
78Josh Naylor SEA · ’97.3120.61.3Signed $17.3M
73Javier Sanoja MIA · ’02.2992.82.2Pre-arb
56Miguel Rojas LAD · ’89.3170.70.6Free agent
56Miguel Andujar SD · ’95.2970.00.2Free agent
52Nick Fortes TB · ’96.2751.20.9Arb

Miguel Rojas (similarity 56, 0.6 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
2B +0.4 +2.9
3B +0.5 0.0
SS −6.2 −1.7
1B +6.7 −5.8
LF +3.2 −7.3
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20263B000.00.0105
2026SS00+0.1+0.1133
20262B00+0.7+0.71,883
20261B+2+1+1.7+2.72,072
2025SS000.00.015
20253B00+0.1+0.1132
20251B+1+1−0.4+0.6340
20252B+2+1+0.5+1.5437
2024SS000.00.0223
2024LF00−0.1−0.1323
20242B−3−2−0.2−2.21,052
20243B+4+3−0.2+2.81,262
2023LF000.00.0253
20232B+1+10.0+1.0460
2023SS−3−20.0−2.0505
20233B+3+3−0.1+2.91,444

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 2B)
2025 · 2B2026 · 2B In (charging) 0+2Back 0−1Toward 3B line 00Toward 1B line +3+1vs. RHH +10vs. LHH +2+2
Tools (percentile; arm among 2Bs)
Arm at 2B 73.7 mph · 15th
Sprint speed 27.1 ft/s · 42nd
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20262B199+0.9
20261B154+4.7
20243B96+1.3
20242B94+0.4

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 −0.2 WAR Free agent
2028 −0.8 WAR Free agent
2029 −1.3 WAR Free agent
2030 −1.7 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAAReno Aces3354241 PA 241 PA · .255/.328/.389 · 5 HR · 9.1% K · 8.7% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 50% 3/6 won · −0.2 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.